Friday, January 22, 2016

Championship weekend

I watched that movie Sicario the other day on the plane.  Pretty good movie.  I will say this, I can't think of a movie that Benicio Del Toro wasn't good in.  He gets no love, probably one of the most underrated actors of our time. Apparently he's going to be in the next star wars too.  Who knew that the next star wars was going to have a drug angle, because that's all he's ever in is crime and drug movies.  Also he was born in Puerto Rico, so he's american, never would have guessed that.

I'll be dog manned if Aaron Rodgers isn't the best hail marrier in the history of the NFL.  I think that kids aren't allowed to play 500 anymore at school, so defenders are horrible at stopping those passes.

surprised that all the jobs filled and Josh McDaniels didn't even get an interview.  Even Patricia got an interview.  I would have thought that Tennessee would have been a good fit.  Also surprised that the giants stuck with Macadoo, but whatever.

I didn't make picks last week, but I would have gotten them all right because the favorites all won, and i'm good at picking like that.

Patriots -3 vs Broncos
This one is tough.  I'm sick of hearing all the stats like, the broncos are the only team that Tom Brady has a losing record against, (he's 6-8 all time).  Tom Brady is 2-6 in Denver.  Tom Brady's first playoff loss of his career came in Denver.  Tom Brady and Peyton Manning have never won on the road against each other in the playoffs or something, they've both won their home games.  Peyton has a 2-1 edge in the AFC championship head to head.  Pats are 3-0 when facing the NFL's top defense in the playoffs over the last 20 years...etc.  Stats are stupid. Every year the team is different, and there are like 104 other players besides the two starting QBs.  If the Pats win, they'll go to their 9th superbowl all time, and be the leader in the clubhouse, currently tied with the steelers and the cowboys.  If the broncos win, they go to their 8th all time, and create a 4 way tie.   So in other words, here are two of the class organizations in AFC history, granted the Pats have been only over the last 15 years or so, but that's really fucking good history for both teams. I could go on about this for days.  The bottom line.  Edelman is back.  Gronk is back.  Brady is still there.  The defense is pretty good.  I think you'll see a similar game plan to what they used last week to neutralize the pass rush, lots of quick short passes, and just take 5-7 yard gains all the way down the field.  Broncos defense is really good, and if they can make brady come off that quick first throw, and hold for just a half a second longer, advantage broncos.  Honestly, I think the offense of the Pats vs the defense of the Broncos ends up being a push, maybe a slight edge to the Pats because of Edelman being back.  Looking at the other side.  Broncos offense vs Pats defense, this one isn't close.  Broncos offense has sucked balls all year long.  I don't trust Peyton Manning.  That being said, I would not be surprised if he had his best game of the year this weekend.  Although I think that's highly unlikely.  The first time these two teams met, the broncos were able to run the ball all over the pats.  I think Belichik corrects that, and takes away the run, and makes Manning beat him with his arm.  Broncos receivers have had a horrible amount of drops, and I have zero confidence in this offense if they can't run the ball.  Overall, I think the weather will be fine, and that HFA isn't that big of a deal in this case.  If this game was in New England, the broncos wouldn't have any shot.  At least they have a glimmer of hope.  End of the day, i'm hoping its just a great game.  Pats win 24-20

Panthers -3 vs Cardinals
Kind of funny, all the stats and history between Manning/Brady and Broncos/Pats and all that jazz, and then you've got two teams in the NFC with very little history of success.  Panthers are really tough at home, and their defense is so opportunistic.  Cardinals offense is awesome, just flat out awesome.  I think Carson Palmer has the jitters out, and finally got the playoff monkey off his back, now he can just go out and play football. I look at the panthers offense vs the cardinals defense and it's pretty close to a push.  Both units are really good.  The Panthers can run the ball on anyone, and their passing game almost feels like an old school option team's passing offense.  Meaning that you commit so much to stopping the run, when they do pass it makes it a lot easier.  Carolina just doesn't have any talent on offense other than Cam Newton, and apparently that's all they need. At the end of the day, that's where Carolina gets that advantage.  Cardinals offense against the Panthers defense, is again, feels like a push.  maybe a slight advantage to the panthers, but their dbs are all banged up.  Fitzgerald in the slot is a really tough cover.  Does Josh Norman just follow fitz everywhere, or does he stay on his side and take that part of the field away?  we shall see, but in the end I think this will be a close game.  coming down to the last drive, and I think that Cam Newton makes a few more plays than Palmer, and that's the difference.  I'll take the panthers for the win 24-20

191 comments:

tem said...

Pat win 35-10.

Panthers win 23-17


Apologies again to H.

Blue said...

i forgot about the snow in carolina...again creates more advantages for the Panthers

tem said...

cam just flies over snow

Meiz said...

David Blatt. fired.

Jugdish said...

LeBron James was not consulted before the Cavaliers made the move to dismiss Blatt and was informed of the decision Friday, sources told Windhorst.



Riiiiight

Jugdish said...

Hi Beth!

Keef said...

I didn't make picks last week, but I would have gotten them all right because the favorites all won, and i'm good at picking like that.




Except Denver and AZ didn't cover

Meiz said...

Kev, your gramps is in Arlington, right?

They're keeping a soldier on guard through this snow storm.

Keef said...

ha, this is cmk's hike school

Aitch said...

"The first time these two teams met, the broncos were able to run the ball all over the pats."

Only after Hightower went out with an injury. He's a little banged up, as is Collins, and Mayo is out. I'm worried about their ability to stop the run.

Keef said...

Kev, your gramps is in Arlington, right?

They're keeping a soldier on guard through this snow storm.



Probably the tomb of the unknown soldier. They are always there regardless of what's going on. Crazy

tem said...

That LeBron stuff is such see through BS to make him look good in the media

tem said...

0% chance he wasn't consulted numerous times.

El Padrino said...

Pats broncos a tough game to pick.

El Padrino said...

Ill add to this tomorrah

Meiz said...

LP, how many pairs of Timbs do you own?

El Padrino said...

Three

Meiz said...

Glorious.

tem said...

Timbs fancy shoes?

Meiz said...

Do your googles, tem.

El Padrino said...

Man this storm was nasty. 2 feet looks like 2 feet that's for sure.

El Padrino said...

Good thing I have enough beer wine and booze to put down a family of mules.

Keef said...

But are you ok on petrol

El Padrino said...

Yes. Car is snowed in anyway not moving it at least until Tuesday

El Padrino said...

My computer is being a douche. Give me panthers and broncos.

Meiz said...

To cover?

El Padrino said...

Always. I always pick games ATS

Meiz said...

Broncos are pretty much a lock.

tem said...

NFC is going to smoke noodle arm in the SB. No fairy tale ending here.

Aitch said...

No excuses, the Patriots played like shit today and deserved to lose. That said, this game was won by their defense, but we're going to have to listen to the national media blow Peyton Manning for the next two weeks.

Aitch said...

I really didn't understand them going for it on 4th and 1 inside of five minutes in the 4th quarter. You kick the field goal there and all you need is to stop Manning (which they did for most of the game) and then a touchdown wins the game. Instead, they put themselves in a position where they needed a touchdown and two point conversion just to tie.

Aitch said...

I also can't understand why they didn't employ more two and three tight end formations in the second half. Miller and where were abusing their tackles. They really needed to bring in some extra blockers to slow down the pass rush.

El Padrino said...

You need cheese with that wine h?

Aitch said...

Acknowledging that the other team played better and analyzing coaching decisions is whining?

Keef said...

we're going to have to listen to the national media blow Peyton Manning for the next two weeks.



Like it would be any different if it was Brady?

Keef said...

I like how Aitch says the patriots lost because they played like shit and not because the Denver D man handled them

tem said...

They should have kicked the fg.

But when tem says you are going to roll you are fucked.

Keef said...

Cardinals playing like shit

tem said...

Panthers make teams do that

tem said...

Also Carson Palmer

tem said...

Aside: wtf is this Verizon commercial with the balls? Verizon won 153 states? How many states are there?

Keef said...

I guess I'm gonna be rooting for Carolina

tem said...

They are going to roll denver. Like when the 49ers rolled the bills

tem said...

Man Carson Palmer needs to sit a few out.

tem said...

6 turnovers. Gotta be a record for a championship game

tem said...

Maybe he'll get to 7.

Keef said...

When did SF roll the Bills

tem said...

Oops broncos

tem said...

Had bills on my mind I guess

El Padrino said...

Early thoughts is yup, Carolina is going to thump the Broncos.

Broncos d would have to basically play perfect

El Padrino said...

What keef said in regards to h.

Pats didn't play like shit. They we're forced to play like shit. Dominant defense. Pass rush always beats the pats.

Keef said...

Why is Tem rooting for Denver

tem said...

I'm not.

I don't have a dog in this fight.

I'm just posting my picks because I have a pretty good track record for picks. People can utilize the info as they see fit.

I thought NE would roll Denver. I thought the Panthers game was going to be close. I think the Panthers are going to destroy Denver.

El Padrino said...

Wade Phillips had a hell of a game

Blue said...

nice to see Von Miller finally show up

tem said...

I'm not sure Wade did a whole lot. Having Von Miller run around the tackle and either sack or pressure Brady isn't really a stroke of genius.

Broncos D-Line just beat up the Pats O-line and ran around them a lot. I'm not sure Wade had much to do with that. It wasn't really scheme or play calls. Just a manhandling.

Blue said...

he did decide when to rush 3, when to rush 4, and when to blitz. when to play off and drop von into coverage.

i mean, the broncos were getting there with 3 at times.

and the press man they were playing on the outside slowed brady just enough...so scheme made a huge deal

Blue said...

so my step-aunt, she's a season ticket holder for the panthers, she has 8 tickets.

i've been hitting her up all morning about getting superbowl tickets at face value, i don't care if i have to sit in the panthers section

tem said...

"i mean, the broncos were getting there with 3 at times."

it's easy to call good plays when you can get to the QB with 3.

I'd be more impressed with Wade if they weren't getting there with 3 and 4 and he had to call more blitzes and do more exotic stuff.

as it was he could just send three and drop 8 into coverage.

imo the players made what Wade was calling work more than Wade was helping out the players with good play calling.

tem said...

silver lining of all the divorces that happen...now you have like twice as many aunts and uncles and parents to possibly be able to get you things like superbowl tickets.

Keef said...

tem hates bum's son

El Padrino said...

Serious the guy has always been a great coordinator. Just a silly head coach

tem said...

he did a great job this season. I'm just not going to slob his knob over this one game where everything was going right for his D. whatever he called worked because his players were just manhandling the pats.

LP would have called a similar game.

Keef said...

It doesn't take much for LP to slob a knob, nomsayin?

Blue said...

it's true. I think some of the scheme was good, but in the end, his guys made plays. YOu can have a great scheme, and if guys don't execute, then who gives a shit


and crowd noise added another level where those speed guys like D-ware and Von, were already a step ahead of the shitty offensive line

tem said...

fair points

Keef said...

And....scene.

Blue said...

cut

Blue said...

broncos cut some dude yesterday off their practice squad and signed another dude that plays the same position

cold blooded

Blue said...

can't imagine that swing of emotions. being on a high because you're going to the superbowl ™ and then the next day getting cut

tem said...

seems unnecessary at the moment.

unless it is QB and the new guy is Cam Newton esque to run the scout team O.

Blue said...

nope, it was a TE

Blue said...

i know the pats did that one year, cut a dude like the night before the Superbowl™

tem said...

I guess the new guy is Greg Olsen esque?

seems like a dick move.

maybe the guy that got cut was a dick.

Blue said...

maybe the guy that got cut was gronk-esque, now they don't need a gronk

Keef said...

Sources told ESPN.com that the hand injury -- unrelated to the torn quadriceps muscle that has sidelined Griffin since Dec. 26 -- is expected to keep him out "a matter of weeks, as opposed to days."


Thanks for the clarification, El SPadriNo.

Blue said...

nba reporters are retarded

Meiz said...

Except for Woj.

Meiz said...

Blake Griffin's a pussy.

Blue said...

big hairy floppy vagina

Blue said...

stephen a is an NBA writer by trade

enough said

Aitch said...

"i know the pats did that one year, cut a dude like the night before the Superbowl™"

Tiquan Underwood

tem said...

what the fuck is blake fighting a ball boy about anyway?

Blue said...

apparently they were best buds too, hung out all the time both at home and on the road

ball boy probably fucked some chick that blake wanted

Keef said...

Abe Vigoda dead.

Keef said...

You know I had rhymes like him.

tem said...

Or some dude he wanted

Keef said...

Finished our taxes last night. Too bad the entire refund goes to daycare

El Padrino said...

Woe

Keef said...

Fuckin A woe

Blue said...

whoa

tem said...

better than no refund and still having to pay for day care

Blue said...

exactly

or having to pay in, and have to pay day care (like bleu)

Keef said...

You print money though

Meiz said...

I haven't even gotten my W2 yet.

Keef said...

Tampa Bay Buccaneers quarterback Jameis Winston, named Monday as a replacement, was the eighth player at his position to be either invited or announced in addition to the six quarterbacks voted in.


Hilarious

tem said...

Having to pay in just means you didn't loan govt money. It's the 1%er way to do taxes.

tem said...

14 of 32 QBS then?

Maybe Manziel will make it too.

Keef said...

I think it's bullshit that I have to pay taxes on my state refund from last year.

Aitch said...

Thanks, Obama

tem said...

"I think it's bullshit that I have to pay taxes on my state refund from last year."

only if you itemized and deducted it the prior year

tem said...

usually people itemize and deduct for example 2,000 which is what their w2 says they paid the state in year 1.

then they get a 500 refund from the state for that year.

so year 2 the fed says hey you deducted 2,000 on your year 1 schedule A but then the state sent you back 500 so you have to claim that as income this year (year 2) because really you only paid 1500 to the state.


if you never itemized or got phased out and didn't deduct the entire part of your state taxes you don't pay taxes in year 2 on that refund.

tem said...

consult your local tax professional for more information

Keef said...

I just do what Turbo Tax tells me to do

Meiz said...

So Kanye went nutzo on Wiz Khalifa on twitter today.

tem said...

"I just do what Turbo Tax tells me to do"

it should tell you correctly.

so you are in the camp where in 2013 you deducted money on your federal return for paying taxes but then the state gave you some of that money back so you shouldn't have really deducted that much.

the irs just lets you claim that excess deduction as income this year. they are nice guys.

Aitch said...

I love this time of year. It's Tem's time to shine

tem said...

taxes are cool

tem said...

thank god I do better at tax stuff than sports picks.

ToddPacker said...

"I think it's bullshit that I have to pay taxes on my state refund from last year."

what's this state tax you speak of?

Keef said...

What are these sinkholes you speak of?

Keef said...

I should have replied with it's a tax we pay to the state so that the ground beneath our house doesn't give out

Aitch said...

Ha!

Blue said...

Kanye is a moron.


Why do we lose tupac and biggie, but nobody shoots this guy


Cmon isis

Blue said...

You're actually not allowed to have to pay at year end, your supposed to make quarterly estimates, or you have to pay a penalty

I think my state penalty was $12 last year

Blue said...

The Feds just tell me I'm supposed to and then don't do anything about it

tem said...

"I think my state penalty was $12 last year"

deadbeat. pay your taxes timely.

El Padrino said...

Fucking taxes

El Padrino said...

Worst part about tax season is that Fucking h&r block guy on tv

Blue said...

He is pretty awful

El Padrino said...

Love when i see fat dudes order egg whites. Its over guy. Eat the whole egg.

El Padrino said...

Egg whites with cheese and Bacon. Fucking lol

tem said...

Mirror behind the counter?

El Padrino said...

You ordered that this morning didn't you

tem said...

no, I don't eat breakfast.

I meant you ordered it and saw yourself in a mirror.

tem said...

if I did have breakfast it would be a sausage mcmuffin and a breakfast burrito

Keef said...

ahiik

Meiz said...

Gotta get the sausage mcmuffin with egg.

tem said...

no egg. never seen an egg be like that. that can't be egg.

Keef said...

Only breffast* I like at BEAST is hot cakes and sausage

Blue said...

but i've seen the commercials, and they crack an egg and cook it on the grill

Meiz said...

"no egg. never seen an egg be like that. that can't be egg."

They use real honest to goodness shell eggs. They even have an egg cracking competition.

El Padrino said...

They crack it in a ring mold ya nut

Keef said...

Front page of WWL has a video of screamin A and Bayless with a caption that says "Should the Cavs consider trading LeBron?" WTF is all this nonsense that they talk about?

Blue said...

must be a slow week

Blue said...

i guess they were tired of arguing if cam newton were white, would he be tim tebow

Meiz said...

No football picks this weekend?

Keef said...

AFC

Blue said...

jerry rice's team

El Padrino said...

Whole nother week left. And I've yet to size up props

Blue said...

there is a game this weekend, was meiz's insinuation

Blue said...

dan patrick gave me an interesting idea

put money on the panthers, so either way, i win

Blue said...

is that the ultimate reverse jinx?

Blue said...

have to bet the money line though, can't go ATS because then if the Panthers win by 2, you double lose

Meiz said...

"put money on the panthers, so either way, i win"

Huh?

Keef said...

stop it, mize

Keef said...

Michael Phelps is hilarious. That reminded me of the SNL Chippendales skit with Farley and Swayze

Blue said...

i don't think those were his real gold medals

Meiz said...

Still funny

Keef said...

i don't think those were his real gold medals


You sure?

Blue said...

not sure, but might not be

tem said...

haha Keyshawn got kicked off the espn morning show thing.

El Padrino said...

Why he ate one of the producers again?

Blue said...

dude was drunk when I "met" him at the airport in Boise

tem said...

Being drunk in Boise is A ok. You get a free pass for that.

Keef said...

Megatron fake retiring

Keef said...

Anyone watching top chef this season? H is one of the chefs

tem said...

Ykhikyg?

Meiz said...

Grease Live was awful last night.

Keef said...

That's cool that tem can tell the future.

tem said...

it is cool

tem said...

if it were grease 2 live I would have watched.

tem said...

Good talk

Keef said...

your goddman rite

tem said...

My goddman rite what?

Keef said...

nut

El Padrino said...

Wow this place is gone

Keef said...

maybe you should comment more than once every 4 days

Keef said...

I got Carolina winning 49-17

tem said...

beth killed us

Meiz said...

Mad busy, yo.

Meiz said...

Phone interview in the next 2 days. Hope I don't blow it.

Meiz said...

I'll probably get passed over for one of our salespeople.

Keef said...

Good luck mize

tem said...

What are you interviewing a phone for?

Meiz said...

Shut up.

Category Specialist.

Got bitched out by one of our Cat Specs for not applying a couple years ago when one came open. I know I can beast this position. Gotta figure out how to convey that in the next day.

Aitch said...

Just tell them that everyone currently doing that job is a dummy and you'll be the best employee they have on day 1.

Keef said...

well gfy mize

Meiz said...

Thank you.

Blue said...

gfy = go fuck yourself?

Meiz said...

Of course.

Keef said...

Also, lol = laugh out loud

FYI

Meiz said...

FYI = for you information

Meiz said...

*your

Meiz said...

Sorry if that's confusing.

tem said...

Gfy = good for you

Keef said...

Dave Mirra kilt hisself

Blue said...

"Blogger tem said...
Gfy = good for you"

not in my book

tem said...

Gfy

El Padrino said...

New post with a few picks. More in the thread tomorrow

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