Wednesday, November 18, 2015

woody the wood picks

I went 5-9 last week and I'm now 66-59-4.  don't listen to me anymore.  EP went 9-4,and is 70-46-4 listen to him.

Craziness all around. The stuff going on in Paris, heightened security at all sporting events, people are blowing up planes again.  People are threatening to blow up planes again.  The Lions are winning in Wisconsin. Tiger is coaching the Ryder cup.  and his blood is giving HIV to Charlie Sheen. Just a great time to be alive.  I'm probably in the minority here, but I think this is a case where genocide is actually justified.  It worked with the nazis (i think), so lets just wipe those fuckers completely off the planet.  Be done with it.  (not the packers and the lions, but i'm ok with all the others)

Also the NY attorney general sent me an email and asked me to cease and desist on DFS advise*.  Other than Langford, most of my advise* was awful anyway.


Jaguars -2.5 vs Titans
I like Blake Bortles.  I like Marcus Mariota.  This could be the best division in football in two years. If the Jags win, and the Colts and Texans lose (both likely), the Jags would suddenly be in 1st place. This is my sneaky favorite team to watch on Sunday Ticket...it's weird. Anyway, I think the Jags are the better team here, this will probably be a shootout, and i'll take the home team.  38-35

Broncos pickem vs Bears 
The Brock Osweiler era begins in Chicago, against John Fox and Adam Gase, and Jay Cutler.  I'm in the "I think he'll be OK" camp for Brock.  He's probably better than most backups.  Worst case scenario, he keeps it close.  They'll run the ball, the defense for the Bears isn't very good, so a good place to get your first start.  I've changed my answer on this one about 4 times now, so i'm going with the team that has the better defense.  In the end, I think the D gets it done.  I mean if Tebow can win games in the NFL, then Osweiler should be able to, right?  Broncos 17-10.

Raiders -1 vs Lions
Raiders are weird, they're good, and they're bad.  The Lions didn't look great against the Packers, but the packers looked awful.  So i'm going with the Raiders here.  I'm hoping the Raiders get back to running the ball, and using Amari Cooper.  I think they have enough this week though, 28-21.

Falcons -5.5 vs Colts
Colts will probably win this game because I can't pick anything right.  The falcons have been awful the last 4 weeks, the Colts had their biggest win of the season, and then a bye.  I like Hasselbeck, but he's like 43 years old.  I think the falcons figure it out 27-20

Jets (off) vs Texans
I doubt Hoyer is going to play, i don't pick the texans in any game anymore, which maybe burns me, but I hate them.  Your trash talk game is very weak, JJ Watt.  The jets have had a couple of bad performances in a row since playing the Pats pretty tough.  It's time they get back to running the rock and blastin fools.  And throw it to Brandon Marshall more #fantasyreasons.  Jets win in a low scoring affair.  15-12 (all field goals).

Eagles -5.5 vs bucs
I like Winston, he's got some moxie.  But it's tough for a young kid to win on the road, especially in philly.  Bradford probably won't play, but I think Sanchez is a very capable backup, and he's been in the system a while now.  Eagles will run the ball, Ryan Mathews actually is the better running back here, but they paid so much for Murray that Chip will keep forcing him the rock.  I think the eagles win this one going away.  31-17.

Rams +1 vs Ravens
Rams huh? Got your asses handed to you at home last week.  Now we're going to start Case Keenum.  Who wasn't awful when playing for the Texans in the past. The Ravens just don't have anything offensively or defensively.  They have a lot of pride, but I think that Gurley runs all over them, and Keenum does enough to win the game for the Rams, and that solid D-line.  Rams win 21-17

Cowboys pickem vs Dolphins
I guess Romo is coming back.  He'll make a difference for this team, he's gotta be better than Cassel or Weeden right?  Doesn't he have the worst directv commercials of all of them.  I mean, his aren't even funny.  Cowboys season is probably over already anyway, and the Dolphins will be after this game.  The fish just don't have it.  Cowboys win 24-23

Panthers -8.5 vs Redskins
Kirk Cousins won't have a perfect QB rating this week, guaranteed.  So you go from playing 7 on 7 to playing a panthers team that you can't complete a pass against.  Cousins will throw a couple of picks, and he always loses when that happens.  Panthers are sneaky good.  Their offense is under the radar, their defense is stout, their dancing is on point.  I'm going to go out on a limb here and say they could be in the NFC championship game.  Panthers win by scoring 4 tds, a FG and a safety and a 2 point conversion, 34-17

Chargers +3 vs Chiefs
I'm probably smoking crack here.  But the chiefs are feeling to good about themselves after beating the Broncos.  The Chargers are coming off a bye, and gotta be feeling the heat.  This is one of those games where I pick whoever is home, and that's the chargers.  31-28

Packers pickem vs Vikings
I sure won't be giving any points for the Pack.  It's gotten embarrassing there.  But their backs are up against the wall now, do you really think A-rodg is going to lose 4 in a row?  Me neither.  The vikings are due for a letdown.  Packers 26-17

Seahawks -13.5 vs 49ers
This is probably too many points, but I saw the Seahawks dismantle this team a couple of weeks ago.  Now they're at home, with their playoff lives hanging in the balance.  And Blaine Gabbert maybe for one week, but not on the road against a usually top notch defense. Last week was more about the cardinals than the seahawks, so i'm taking the home team here in a lot.  24-10.

Bengals +5 vs Cardinals
I probably would have picked this game differently had the cardinals lost and the bengals won last week.  Texans just seem to have Andy Dalton's number.  Bengals are too good to be getting 5 points. Too much talent on that team.  I'm not sure who is going to win, so I won't make a prediction, but i'll take the points.

Patriots -7.5 vs Bills
If this was a stupid line, i'd take the bills, but the Pats are really good at home.  And now they have a week to adjust to the Edelman injury.  I still think the OBJ catch in the endzone was a catch.  They need to just change the rule to say anybody who exhibits control over the football with 2 feet down, it's a catch.  Who cares if you take it to the ground, or if somebody strips you, or you have to make a football move, or any of that shit, just catch it, and it's a catch.  That has nothing to do with this game, but the Giants have a bye and I needed somewhere to bitch about it.  Bills aren't good enough to hang with the Pats this year.  34-20.

69 comments:

Blue said...

"NFL great's parents die an hour apart"

easy there CNN, nobody calls Doug Flutie an NFL great.

Aitch said...

"They need to just change the rule to say anybody who exhibits control over the football with 2 feet down, it's a catch. Who cares if you take it to the ground, or if somebody strips you, or you have to make a football move, or any of that shit, just catch it, and it's a catch."

I actually agree with you. It was the right call according to the rule, but the rule sucks. What pisses me off is that we knew the rule sucked after the Calvin Johnson incident. No change. We knew it sucked after the Dez Bryant issue. No change. Now it benefits the Patriots and you bet your ass they'll change it in the off-season, just like this past year when they changed the eligible/ineligible receiver rule after the Ravens whined that they got outsmarted by the Patriots.

Aitch said...

Whether Ortiz played a lot of 1B our bit is irrelevant to me. DH is a position in baseball. It has been for what? 40 years. Ortiz has HOF numbers. He redefined the position. He should be in, IMO.

Keef said...

Panthers are sneaky good



Uh, they're 9-0. They're not sneaking anything

Keef said...

Edgar Martinez was a better DH than Ortiz, and he's not in the HOF

Blue said...

Edgar was a great DH, but he didn't have 500 HRs, or 3k hits or any other big stats. And zero World Series rings

El Padrino said...

Ortiz is hof. Easily

El Padrino said...

Also. I'm drunk

tem said...

2nd ballot

tem said...

DH is only a position in half the league

tem said...

I like all the roids talk people are already spewing...."well he might have done em"

tem said...

Also how did Ortiz redefine the DH?

tem said...

Redefine DH would be some guy leading off and stealing bases. DH never does that. DH has been a power hitting guy for like ever.

He's a really good DH. Didn't redefine it. 2nd ballot guy.

El Padrino said...

Greaa point's

Meiz said...

"Whether Ortiz played a lot of 1B our bit is irrelevant to me. DH is a position in baseball. It has been for what? 40 years. Ortiz has HOF numbers. He redefined the position. He should be in, IMO."

Agreed, but not until Edgar is in.

Keef said...

DOUBLE DRAGON TATTOO!

Keef said...

Didn't Ortiz's name show up on the steroid report that was supposed to be anonymous?

Meiz said...

"Didn't Ortiz's name show up on the steroid report that was supposed to be anonymous?"

It did, but I don't give a fuck.

Bonds, McGwire, Sosa, Clemens, Bagwell should all be in.

Meiz said...

I've got 14 guys who should be in the Hall this year

Blue said...

I don't disagree about Edgar, loved the guy

Blue said...

Fucking all time hits leader and HR leader aren't in the hall...the place is a fucking joke

Blue said...

That's like the pro football HOF not putting in manning/Favre and rice

Blue said...

Side not, I'm drunk too

Aitch said...

Martinez - 18 seasons

Batting average .312
Hits 2,247
Home runs 309
Runs batted in 1,261

Ortiz - 19 seasons

Batting average .284
Hits 2,303
Home runs 503
Runs batted in 1,641

194 more homeruns, 380 more RBIs. How exactly was Edgar a better DH?

Aitch said...

Martinez played in 2,055 games, 590 of those playing in the field.

Ortiz has played in 2,257 games and appeared in the field 277 times.

So that and the batting average are really the only categories where Martinez was better.

Jugdish said...

I like Blake Bortles.


I have to like Bortles now since Luck is out. He has been a good backup for me for the games Luck has missed so far.

Blue said...

i was hesitant on bortles a while back because he throws too many INTs, but he still gets roughly 20 points each week, even with the negative pick points. He seriously might be a top 5 or 7 fantasy QB this year

Blue said...

apparently he's 8th in my league scoring

tem said...

Close to 7th

Keef said...

seriously

El Padrino said...

Luck throws alot of ints. Bortles is the truth. Will be solid for a long time. Big time arm.

El Padrino said...

Jags tonight because of him.

Jugdish said...

El Padrino said...
Luck throws alot of ints. Bortles is the truth. Will be solid for a long time. Big time arm.



See, now I'm starting to doubt bortles



s

Blue said...

Jared going to federal pound you in the ass prison for 15 years.

fucking creep

Aitch said...

I see y'all are gonna ignore the numbers and my debunking of your Edgar Martinez myth...

Blue said...

me all?

Blue said...

Edgar isn't in the HOF.

the HOF is a joke anyway

Aitch said...

Keef and Meiz, too

Blue said...

those guys don't know shit

Keef said...

OK fatty. Longevity, Ortiz had a greater run. I think that Edgar was better during the prime of his career than Ortiz. And Ortiz failed a drug test during the prime of his career, so there's that.

tem said...

what's their WARs?

other advanced metrics?

who stole more bases?

who speaks better English?

tem said...

I've changed my stance to 4th ballot

Keef said...

They both don't speaka the good english

Keef said...

Edgar leads 49-15 in SB
Edgar leads in WAR 68.3-50.4
Edgar leads in OPS+ 147-139

Blue said...

but the #1 most important stat of all those stats

Ortiz played in Boston (majority of career)
Edgar played in Seattle (majority of career)

nobody cares about Seattle

Keef said...

He only played in Seattle

Keef said...

and good point

Blue said...

that would be the majority

Blue said...

i could have swore he tried to play for like cleveland or somebody at the end, but baseball reference says no

Blue said...

rex ryan is great

Blue said...

"The number of cases of chlamydia and gonorrhea in the United States increased between 2013 and 2014, after being on the decline for several years. Cases of syphilis, which have been on the rise for the last decade, shot up in 2014."


thanks Obama

Aitch said...

"And Ortiz failed a drug test during the prime of his career, so there's that."

Allegedly.

Keef said...

Ok mize

Aitch said...

No, seriously.

His name was allegedly on a list that was reported by the NY Times. There was never any additional follow up or substantiation by any other news organization of anyone on that list, Ortiz or otherwise. If you want to blindly trust the reporting of one source as gospel law, I can't stop you.

Keef said...

Just don't sit on me

El Padrino said...

These Jerseys man stop this

Blue said...

They're doing this all month on Thursday nights

El Padrino said...

What jax is wearing is not even a color. Its like melted pennies mixed with corn shits

Blue said...

Brown mustard, perfect for a team in London

Blue said...

Fucking bortles man

Aitch said...

"Just don't sit on me"

Someone's got jokes

tem said...

Stds are ramping up because of all the antibiotics we feed cows.

All those diseases are resistant to drugs now.

Keef said...

They're doing this all month on Thursday nights


I read they are doing them the rest of this year and all of next year

Aitch said...

Sucks to be colorblind

El Padrino said...

"Probably be a shootout"

Lolz

Keef said...

too soon

Blue said...

""Probably be a shootout""

yeah, read that last night when it was 6-3 at halftime, and was like, whoops

but i got the pick right, which means i'm only going to get 4 more from sunday's games

Meiz said...

Chin up, Blue. LP's just on a lucky streak.

El Padrino said...

I'm just busting balls sort of like a how does it feel type thing

being a punk

anyway new picks up

new thread

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