Friday, September 18, 2015

PICKS!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

I need some intro music.  Wouldn't that be cool, like you refresh the page and some jingle starts playing?  Like the Sunday night song or the Inside the NFL jingle.  Sort of like a singing greeting card.

As usual do with these picks as you see fit.  I'm using the 5Dimes.com betting line.

CAROLINA -3 over Texans
I fear Bill O'Brien does not know what short leash means.  I love this matchup because I want to see JJ Watt vs. Cam Newton.  Did anyone read that article on Watt from MMQB site?  Pretty good stuff as far as how they game plan, how they use Watt.  Basically he lines up wherever the fuck he wants.  Wherever he thinks a play can be made.  Whether that's attacking a weak o lineman, rushing the edge on a passing down, lining up over the nose on a obvious run down, etc.  Or standing up.  No Luke in this one but won't matter, Ryan Mallet's middle name is mistakes.

STEELERS -6 over Niners
I love the home teams home openers in the early weeks especially after a loss and especially after a few extra days of coach work.  I think the Vikes poor showing had more to do than the Niners Monday night win that no one in the country watched.

Tampa Bay +11 over SAINTS
Well I'm a hypocrite.  Let me rephrase, I love the home teams home openers when the spread isn't retarded.  I'm not completely ready, just yet, to shit on the Bucs.  Even though the one Bucs fan I know is (TEMWR87).

VIKES -2.5 over Detroit
Have to think the Vikings play better this week.  Especially Peterson.  He knocked the rust off.  The over on this game (43) is a lock.  That's the better play.

BEARS +2 over Arizona
I saw some good things from the Bears loss last week.  Forte is the focal point which is good because he is their best player.  Cutler was into it.  The defense was not THAT bad.  Or as bad as some people thought.  The whole "I thought the Bears should have hired me story" Arinas came out with this week was strange.  Could be a motivator in that locker room for the owner.

BUFFALO over New England
Even spread.  So Vegas is even giving the Bills a shot.  Rex had some early success vs. the Pats and Brady when he was with the Jets.  First two seasons they had the edge and knocked them out of the playoffs.  Maybe there is some of that magic with here early too.  That crowd is pretty good too.  And sure Belichick probably has a master plan to destroy Tyrod Taylor but he can't plan for when the play breaks down and T Mobile scampers for 30.  Plus Taylor has studied with or was part of game planning for Pats often while with Baltimore.  That knowledge is key.

BENGALS -3 over Chargers
I'll give the edge to the home team.  In years past the Chargers haven't been very good on the road especially for the early matches.

Titans -1 over BROWNS
I love the home teams home openers when the spread isn't retarded and when the home team is not the Browns.  Gonna need a manifesto soon.

GIANTS -2.5 over Falcons
Somehow they put that debacle behind them and play well in front of the fans.  But I am leery of a bad Eli pick early unsettling everyone and boos rain down.  That's a Jet move but certainly in play here because of last week.  Philly seemed off last week and got emotionally ran out of that game early.   Different feel this week.  Road game, short week, Julio is a stud but already banged up a bit.

St. Louis -3 over SKINS
That d-line going to be in the backfield all day.  It's a nasty defense with Dr. Bounty calling the shots this might get ugly in DC quick.

JAX +7 over Miami
Miami was disoriented on offense last week.  They may eke out a win here but I don't expect them to blow out the Jags who at the least feel like a team that will compete.   Maybe even fall on the cover dogs list this year.  Is the 12th man in Everbank Stadium the pool?

Baltimore -6 over OAKLAND
I suspect Oakland will play better but you know Baltimore will be hard up for that first win.  and emotionally charged without their leader.

PHILLY -5 over Dallas
It's clear Dallas is a different team without Murray moving the chains and keeping defenses honest.  I don't read into anything from Monday night on the Eagles side with Murray because they were down 20-3 before you knew it.  So let's give it a few games.  Philly's home opener after a loss seems like a safer bet than Dallas's first road game after a miracle.

GREEN BAY -3.5 over Seahawks
Uh oh.  0-2 for the NFC favorites.  2-0 for the other NFC favorites.  This Kam Chancellor holdout is taking the beginning of their season hostage.  Clearly they miss him.  Night game in Lambeau.  WAITING ALL DAY FOR SUNDAY NIGHT.

COLTS -7 over Jets
Rocking crowd, if Jets make a mistake early this will be over by dinner time on the West Coast.

110 comments:

Jugdish said...

I need some intro music.

Blue said...

"I never take a west coast team, in an early game, on the east coast.""

eastern time zone = east coast, just because it doesn't have coastal access, you can take the river to the ocean, it's the same

i don't give a shit if it borders the ocean or not, all those states are the east coast to me

Aitch said...

Words have meaning, Blue. East coast means exactly that. Coast.

Aitch said...

Otherwise, though, I enjoyed your post. I read way more of it than I did of EP's.

El Padrino said...

Your loss

Keef said...

In blue's defense, his comment, "early game", had to do with the time of the game. East coast time.

Keef said...

Apparently in AZ it's illegal to use Draft Kings and FanDuel. Who knew

Jugdish said...

walk away

Blue said...

Arizona legislature knew

Blue said...

The fuck is Ohio then, it's east coast to anybody who matters.

Can't say Midwest, because KC is in the Midwest and it's in the central time zone.

It's Ohio, a piece of shit state that nobody is proud to live in or be from

Blue said...

It's like Pittsburgh, all these people tell me how great pissburgh is, but then why the fuck you living here taking up my water, move yer ass back it's so great

Blue said...

Never seen Peyton manning so happy after a game as he was last night

Keef said...

It's Ohio, a piece of shit state that nobody is proud to live in or be from


OK Idaho.

Keef said...

Words have meaning, Blue. East coast means exactly that. Coast.


I think if you axed 100 people if Pennsylvania was considered east coast, you'd have at least 90 people say yes. Does PA have any ocean views?

tem said...

They have a big lake

tem said...

Bucs are a shitshow. 2-14

El Padrino said...

Man that advertising is EVERYWHERE

tem said...

Yeah lots of ads

Keef said...

Didn't ESPN buy them?

tem said...

Buy who?

Keef said...

DraftKings

Keef said...

I thought that's what LP was talking about

Blue said...

PA has as many as AZ I guess

Blue said...

Apparently ESPN put up 250M to buy a 20% stake in draftkings

tem said...

I should have done that

tem said...

Keith get arrested?

Keef said...

Sure?

tem said...

Oh I guess you aren't the shooter then

Aitch said...

"I think if you axed 100 people if Pennsylvania was considered east coast, you'd have at least 90 people say yes."

People are dumb. They elected Obama... Twice.

Blue said...

And it's ruined your life how?

tem said...

He didn't make American Idol

Blue said...

Thanks obama

Keef said...

People are dumb. They elected Obama... Twice.


Ok zeke

Keef said...

My life would be no different regardless of who was president the last 8 years

tem said...

It might be different if you were president

tem said...

I'd venture to say it surely would be different if you were president

Keef said...

Toosh magoosh

El Padrino said...

Nobody wants to win the cincy game

El Padrino said...


My life would be no different regardless of who was president the last 8 yeaRs.


You'd have more money in your paycheck

El Padrino said...

Giants are brutal. Playing scared

Keef said...

VIKES -2.5 over Detroit
The over on this game (43) is a lock. That's the better play.



Oh so close. GEMS!

Keef said...

Eagles are a shit show

Aitch said...

I lost Lacy and Romo this weekend. My bench blew up. Not a good fantasy Sunday. I need Andre Johnson + Fleener to score < 5 points

Keef said...

I had Brady, Gronk, Julio jones, Emmanuel Sanders, Amari Cooper. I need Gore to be > -98 pts tonight

El Padrino said...

If Peterson donest fumble twice in the red zone that over hits. Douche.

Keef said...

fucking ifs

El Padrino said...

Hey I can do all the analyst work on these but you need the luck. That over was meaty. Should have paid. Good thing I loaded up on the Steelers and Panthers. Yesterday was a good day.

Keef said...

I like when LP gives a lock and it falls through, but after the fact he always won big on other games. Just like his million dollar fake portfolio

Jugdish said...

I meant it was a lock to fall through.

/Lp

Jugdish said...

St. Louis ended my suicide league for me yesterday.

Keef said...

You should have taken Washington

Jugdish said...

I should have taken AZ

Blue said...

probably should have taken the steelers

Blue said...

at least you didn't take the 'aints

Meiz said...

"I need some intro music."


A+++++

Meiz said...

"OK Idaho."

And Sacramento

Keef said...

Sacramento isn't a state anymore

Meiz said...

Weird

Meiz said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
Meiz said...

Twas a double comment

tem said...

I took the saints and colts for my two suicide picks. Looks like 2 losses. Thank goodness. I hate suicide pools. Fucking pools.

El Padrino said...

Carolina was the pick tem. Just ask. The gems are free

Keef said...

I thought the over was the pick

tem said...

Next time I'll remember to ask the day after the game.

Jugdish said...

tough week in suicide pools.

Keef said...

LP is 10,350-0 against the spread on the day after

Meiz said...

That number seems too round to be right.

Jugdish said...

Lp gems betting strategy

El Padrino said...

Jerry Jones is on drugs

El Padrino said...

I won every suicide league we've done. Except one

El Padrino said...

Keef get the champagne ready this weekend when the Mets clinch in your face.

Aitch said...

Is it too late to start a suicide pool for us?

Aitch said...

Also, thank you football good gods for giving me the victory

Blue said...

"Is it too late to start a suicide pool for us?"

it's never too late

Blue said...

""OK Idaho."

And Sacramento"

both places i've moved away from.

i'd never move back to sacramento. I'm not digging san diego really either.

Idaho, different story, but if you're trying to compare ohio to idaho, i don't think you've ever been to one of those states.

Meiz said...

How do you not like San Diego?

Blue said...

i'm spoiled

Compared to Denver, it's not even close

but compared to just about anywhere else, i'd rather live in SD.

Blue said...

i'm not much of a beach guy, i like the seasons, i actually like the snow and outdoors

and everything here is ridiculously overpriced.

tem said...

I'd join a suicide league here just to see if LP wins

tem said...

Blue moved from Denver so he didn't have to have a beer with me when I visited for work

Blue said...

why don't you visit san diego for work

Jugdish said...

everything there is ridiculously overpriced

/tem

Jugdish said...

Blue moved from Denver so he didn't have to have a beer with me when I visited for work


once your work trip is over he'll move back.

Meiz said...

Selfish

Keef said...

Yeah I've never been to Ohio

El Padrino said...

Denver is the best?

Blue said...

it's probably the best for me.

everyone has their own bests

Keef said...

A whale's vagina is expensive as fuck

El Padrino said...

Fucking lodo

Keef said...

A dude on my team works from home in Denver, he lives in lodo

Blue said...

lodo is too expensive now too

and it's a "nogo" if you have kids

Meiz said...

Adam Jacobi would be proud of Blue for that last comment.

Keef said...

I wouldn't live with kids in any major downtown area

Meiz said...

"I wouldn't live with kids in any major downtown area"

Yeah, you'd be a slap fool.

tem said...

We are building near lodo. Near the baseball park. We aren't building in San diego.

Keef said...

Yogi Berra. Dead.

Keef said...

He was 117

Keef said...

Happy Yom Kippur

El Padrino said...

Can't believe yogi hit 358 homers.

Jugdish said...

I dislike the end of the fiscal year sometimes.

Blue said...

didn't know Yogi Berra was still alive

Meiz said...

"Can't believe yogi hit 358 homers."

Dude was like your size. Only had 1 season with a sub-100 OPS+, and it was his age 37 season where he only played in 86 games.

El Padrino said...

My size. Im way bigger. but yeah insane says for a shorty

El Padrino said...

Stats

tem said...

Who are the other 2 now? Or was moses 1 and yogi 2 with 3 coming soon?

tem said...

I'm thinking a shocking Joe Namath.

El Padrino said...

Three is coming. I'm thinking Jeter

/TP

Jugdish said...

Urb, because of chest pains

/Tp

Keef said...

Exciting game tonight

Blue said...

new post with picks up for the week

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"Most Boston sports fans are just douchebags. Because most people from New England are douchebags." - tem





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"If you agree with EP, change your opinion." - H





"i'm dumb and sensitive. basically i'm a woman" - L Padrino





"I'm so horny this morning. If there wasn't this sex offender list going around id grope bitches on the train this morning" - L Padrino