Friday, September 12, 2014

El Pad's Weekly Betting Advice

First some randomness. How hard is it to eat no carbs for breakfast and why would someone choose to do that? Further let's say you didn't like eggs? Or egg whites. That makes it almost impossible right? Also for the working man who doesn't eat breakfast at home it's really hard to do that.

What's the deal with vitamins? Do you guys take a multi vitamin? How come the kinds available are priced so different? Like shouldn't all vitamins be about the same price. I mean if they all contain vitamins wouldn't you think they would get sourced in a similar way? Maybe it's because a brand like Nature's Way contains more natural additives than say Centrum which may or may not contain pulverized sheet metal bits. I feel I get enough vitamins or my daily allowance of vitamins through my meals but I'm probably dead wrong about that. My Dr. tried to sell me on Vita-Lea brand vitamins. They are like $30. He must be in bed with the sales rep or something.

Wife is funny, she's obsessed with everything about Fall season but Football. We got pumpkin candles all over the place, I saw the Halloween decoration tote in the hallway which means they'll be up soon. She's pumped. Then, football is on today too? So it's on Thursday now? Sunday and Monday? (And Satruday if you count college) R A, R?

unto my picks......Think Keef pointed out to everyone it was a rough first week. Still getting to know some teams. I got 5-11. Oof.

Miami -1 over BUFFARRO
Interesting game to pick considering both teams were impressive in Week one victories. Dolphins riding a high of beating the Pats pretty handily in their home opener and the Bills coming off an impressive overtime win on the road. A game I figured the Bears would easily win. So either the Bears have some kinks to work out including not getting manhandles at home or they aren't as good as I thought or the Bills are better than I thought. Fins win was more impressive and I like the way they ran the ball with the re-tooled offensive line. Think they pack their defense with them and beat Buffalo pretty good Sunday.

Jax +5.5 over SKINS
Is this line for real? How is it already assumed the Redskins are better than the Jaguars? Does it have something to do with allowing 34 straight points to the Eagles last week? Did anyone making the lines in Vegas watch the Redskins play last week? They were brutal. Anemic on offense. The torches for RGIII's head will be organizing soon enough.

TITANS -3.5 over Dallas
Hard to pick Dallas on the road with the stench from that home fart still lingering. Locker looked VERY good. Eager to see if it continues.

Arizona -3 over GIANTS
Hard to pick the Giants anywhere knowing they still have no fucking idea what to do on offense. I don't know why they think moving Eli around is a good idea. And when he drops back a pocket to throw from would be nice. I don't want to talk about it anymore I'm fittin' to throw a lamp.

New England -3 over MINNY
Impressive win for Minnesota but it could be the Rams, down to the 3rd stringer at QB, were just really bad. I don't feel like looking up the last time the Pats had back to back losses (in the same season) but I'm sure it was probably a long time ago and I'm sure Belichick/Brady combo is something stupid like 32-1 after a loss.

New Orleans -7 over BROWNS
First, looks like Josh Gordon is back soon ehough which fuck man I should have wasted a pick on him at some point but who knew? Second Rob Ryan's defense got record setting torched last week. The Browns don't have that kind of fire power so look for them to take it out on them and roll up some crooked numbers. NO D is a solid fantasy play this week IMO.

Falcons +5 over CINCY
Matt Ryan was surgical last week. I think the Bengals eek out a win but not by the spread. They will need to run the ball and control time of possession.....feed Jeremy Hill more. He hungry.

CAROLINA -2.5 over Detroit
The Lions looked great but the Giants played awfully poor for us to annoint Detroit. Cam is back. Kelvin Benjamin could be the playmaker I have been asking Carolina to develop/draft.....stay tuned. As a side note Greg Hardy is playing, he was found guilty by a judge for beating and choking his then girlfriend. He appealed so it's now pending a court date for trial by jury (that seems backwards) but anyway until he wins/loses the appeal both the NFL and Carolina organization are allowing him to play. Seems like a poor choice. If I'm Carolina don't I set an example to the league and to the fans and community by not allowing Greg to play? Even if it's a few games. It doesn't seem appropiate to let him play.....

TAMPA -6 over Rams
Can't take Rams right now. I imagine they will play better because it can't get any worse than last week but how much better? Also Bucs, please give Bobby Rainey the ball more. Make a "Sproles" package for him or something.

Seattle -6 over CHARGERS
I think I'm taking Seattle every week. They'll probably be giving every week and will probably have a winning record ATS.

Houston -2.5 over RAIDERS
Oakland looked pretty awful. J.J. Watt is impossible. He should be in the Avengers.

Jets +8 over GREEN BAY
New York seems stout enough on D to hang around in this one. Give Rodgers and company some fits early. Millner is back (not that I'm high on him but he is their #1 CB). Geno on the road, just in general, is a scary thought but spotting a good defensive team with 8 points that can run the ball 50 times...... i'm taking the points.

DENVER -13 over Cheifs
Denver O kind of sputtered at times. Particuarly in the second half. Thought the defense played pretty good. The Cheifs are like 2-9 since starting last season 9-0 or something like that. Losing Derrick Johnson is no bueno. Manning has racked up some gaudy #'s vs. the Cheifs and I see no reason why this game will be any different.

Bears +7 over NINERS
Bears should be able to move the ball on San Fran and be in this one all the way. I know it's the home opener in a new stadium on primetime but that's motivation for the Bears too.

INDY -3 over Eagles
Luck going to carve through the Eagles on Monday night. Give me that over 53.5 too.



351 comments:

1 – 200 of 351   Newer›   Newest»
Jugdish said...

Do you guys take a multi vitamin?


I take these. they were recommended by my eye doc.

Jugdish said...

So either the Bears have some kinks to work out



can't stop the run

Jugdish said...

just like last year

Blue said...

don't like the -13.5 for the broncos.

division game, chefs got embarassed last week. i don't think the chefs will win, but it'll be a 7-10 point game in the end.

Blue said...

although i'd have said the same thing about last nights game and I would have been wrong

tem said...

"How hard is it to eat no carbs for breakfast and why would someone choose to do that?"

not hard. just have bacon. or sausage.

tem said...

"Do you guys take a multi vitamin? "

yes, a chewy gummy one. it makes me feel like a kid. I might start taking some flintstones vitamins again.

tem said...

"So it's on Thursday now? Sunday and Monday? (And Satruday if you count college) R A, R?"

if you count college I think you get Wednesday through Monday.

Blue said...

i think there are college games on tuesdays too

Keef said...

I take multivitamins

tem said...

Tuesday? then all the time.

suite.

El Padrino said...

Just bacon and sausage seems counterproductive if let's say I was trying to eat a nutritious meal.

The whole thing is retarded.

El Padrino said...

What kind keef

Blue said...

nobody said carb free is nutritious

El Padrino said...

6-11 with ravens pick

El Padrino said...

That's why I eat whatever the fuck I want whenever I want. This kid is stressing over what to eat and when and how much. Such a pussy.

El Padrino said...

MODERATION

El Padrino said...

Hope Mayweather destroys Maidana. He had problems with him the first time.

#TMT

tem said...

sausage, milk, and an orange probably counts as carb free.

tem said...

I stayed away from eggs because of your post re: what if they don't like eggs.

otherwise you'd go some sort of egg white omelet.

El Padrino said...

Egg Whites are gross

Keef said...

What kind keef


It might be Nature Made, not 100% positive

Keef said...

Actually I think it is that. Brown bottle with a yellow label & lid

Jugdish said...

this was pretty funny

The Meiz said...

"Hope Mayweather destroys Maidana. He had problems with him the first time."

Seen on twitter: If Maidana beats Broner and Mayweather in the same calendar year, he deserves to be Time's person of the year.

I agree with this.

Keef said...

What's with all the dudes getting hit in the face in mlb yesterday

Jugdish said...

in the face

The Meiz said...

"What's with all the dudes getting hit in the face in mlb yesterday"

All two of them?

Jugdish said...

Eagles' McCoy left 20-cent tip as 'statement'



"I'm a cheap bastard."...that was the statement

Keef said...

All two of them?


Compared to the zero over the previous couple months?

Keef said...

Seems high

/jug

El Padrino said...

Your face seems high

tem said...

to you I am sure it does

The Meiz said...

Just got guilted into playing golf tomorrow

Keef said...

Poor guy

The Meiz said...

I'm not going to break 100. I've played once this season, and we're playing from the tips.

The Meiz said...

I should start stretching tonight

El Padrino said...

Getting hit with a switch is a black thing right? White dads took off the belt and moms grabbed wooden spoons.

El Padrino said...

Or a south thing .... Def not an east coast thing. Ain't no damn trees just outside like that. If there were they would be big ass trees that been there 100 years. Fucking oaks and maples.

Jugdish said...

either way, AP might be in trouble...along with my fantasy team. one of them anyways

Jugdish said...

I got hit with the wooden spoon and belt when I was a kid...no switch

Aitch said...

AP (associated press. Calm down Meiz) is reporting that Peterson won't play Sunday, citing multiple credible sources.

The Meiz said...

I've been hit with everything under the sun.

The Meiz said...

The Buccaneers unis look like some bullshit I created on Madden 04

Aitch said...

I don't think the NFL will suspend AP unless they are prepared to suspend Hardy and McDonald as well, and that is a very slippery slope.

Keef said...

White dads took off the belt and moms grabbed wooden spoons


This was my house

Keef said...

I'm shocked that tOSU covered

El Padrino said...

Money Mayweather

The Meiz said...

I can't figure out fristrow today

El Padrino said...

I hate fantasy

Keef said...

LP on his way to a 5-9 day.

Keef said...

Aitch questions LP's football knowledge

El Padrino said...

It will round into form by week 6-7. Still picking through trends and team characteristics. Don't worry.

El Padrino said...

Sherman is a punk. Now Blue really hates him.

El Padrino said...

I already know I was wrong about the Bills and that coach. They got some playmakers all over the field. I think they get San Diego which makes them a home dog this weekend. Already ready to try the Bills at home this week as a home dog.

Blue said...

Fucking Seahawks, they play denver this week and won't lose 2 in a row

Blue said...

No problem with Sherman, he asked teams to throw at him so Phyllis did

Blue said...

It's the no nobody's on that d that talk shit that I can't stand, booby Wagner

Jugdish said...

“The incident you went to jail for—the mother of your three children did show some bruises, a concussion when she went to the hospital. It was your own kids who called the police, gave them a detailed description of the abuse. There has been documentation.” To which Mayweather replied: “Uh-huh. Once again, no pictures. Just hearsay and allegations. And I signed a plea-bargain. Once again, not true.” A good day for Rachel Nichols. A bad day for a bad guy.


good dude


s

Keef said...

But he didn't knock her out. He won by decision

Jugdish said...

another good dude



s

El Padrino said...

The details of the AP indictment are horrifying. Something wrong with him. And people in general if they think that shit is OK.

El Padrino said...

But Blue he acted like a bitch and didn't talk to media. Always around after a good game but missing after a loss. (He didn't even play that bad)

He's a punk

Jugdish said...

The details of the AP indictment are horrifying. Something wrong with him. And people in general if they think that shit is OK.


totally agree. those pics were taken a week after the beating. kid is 4!

The Meiz said...

You've never wailed on a 4 year old? Feels great.

Blue said...

there's a difference between discipline and abuse


he crossed the line. I'm not saying you can't hit a kid with a switch, but to leave the welts and marks...fuck it's like the lashes that slaves got

El Padrino said...

Yeah brutal. Plus he is an absent dad. The time you spend with him is devoted to whipping his bare skin with a tree branch

Blue said...

i wouldn't necessarily say he's an absent dad.

He lives in MN most of the year

Keef said...

You would think that after seeing his other kid beat to death last year, he'd be a little more sensitive to that shit

The Meiz said...

Indeed

The Meiz said...

In other news, I beat a guy who plays golf at least once a week by 4 shots on saturday. I don't play golf.

El Padrino said...

Oh you mean his kid he didn't know he had until he was beaten to death. Good point.

He has like 7 from 4 or 5 different ladies. Like Cromartie.

El Padrino said...

Vikes activated him for Sundays game

El Padrino said...

The golf outing you were bitching about? Nice.

Keef said...

Oh you mean his kid he didn't know he had until he was beaten to death. Good point


Oh, him not knowing the kid must mean he didn't care that the kid was beat to death. Thanks for straightening me out.

El Padrino said...

I wasn't just stating additional facts to your point and adding to the angle on what a terrible father he actually is.

Keef said...

Gotcha

Keef said...

Apologies

Blue said...

c'mon, do we all really know all of our kids?


i could have kids i don't know about

The Meiz said...

Goddamn hot pocket lava. Gets me every time.

Blue said...

try the hotpockets...they're breathtaking

El Padrino said...

How come we haven't covered the Scottish independence topic here?

El Padrino said...

The Jets lost was hilarious.

Keef said...

How come we haven't covered the Scottish independence topic here?


::kilt stare::

Keef said...

20/26

The Meiz said...

"The Jets lost was hilarious."

How are the Giants looking?

The Meiz said...

Asking for a friend.

El Padrino said...

I've already said they suck. Guy with no team to root for.

Keef said...

Cards, Bills, & Bengals are 2-0.

Blue said...

he roots for the lions

El Padrino said...

Fake root for them

Keef said...

15/20

Blue said...

23/26

Blue said...

17/20

Keef said...

Aced em both


/Mize

Keef said...

Arizona Cardinals coach Bruce Arians said linebacker John Abraham will return to the team this week.


He must have forgot that he originally left because he's had memory loss for the past year

Blue said...

too bad he plays for the falcons

Keef said...

Blue lives in the past

Keef said...

Yesterday I won bolth* my ffb matchups and my fmlb team won first round of playoffs which put me into the money. So for one day I don't hate fantasy

The Meiz said...

"Fake root for them"

Yes, I pretend to wear these Lions hoodies and watch as many of their games as I can.

Blue said...

i guess i meant, too bad he thinks he still plays for the falcons

Blue said...

"Yes, I pretend to wear these Lions hoodies and watch as many of their games as I can."


faker

Blue said...

"Yes, I pretend to wear these Lions hoodies and watch as many of their games as I can."


faker

Keef said...

Fakers are the worse

El Padrino said...

Ha. Meiz likes the D.

The Meiz said...

"20/26"

Same

Keef said...

big D's in your ass is bad for your health.

The Meiz said...

19/20

Didn't get the anime one

El Padrino said...

What the fuck is a crosscut rib?

Blue said...

rib that is cut across instead of down

El Padrino said...

Through the bone? Psychos

The Meiz said...

Email

Subject: Cheese Feta Sheep


EMAIL IS ABOUT SALAMI

WHY ARE THERE SO MANY MORONS???

The Meiz said...

Big day

The Meiz said...

Now I have a co-worker all bent out of shape because I didn't work Memorial Day, 4th Of July, or Labor Day, and I'm taking my first week vacation in 12 years during Christmas time. Fuck off bitch. I'll use my vacation how I see fit.

Keef said...

I was at the grocery store on Sunday, I had bgas1 & 2 with me. Fuck, it was like a gold mine that day with single bitches. Had 3 chicks do the awwww how old are they routine

Keef said...

Then we ran into csil and it kilt all my mojo

The Meiz said...

"Then we ran into csil and it kilt all my mojo"


A man just can't win with that loon around

Keef said...

Now that she lives in the neighborhood next to ours, she's around a lot more

Blue said...

bitches be crazy

Blue said...

i am now officially up to 800 emails in my inbox

Blue said...

FML

Blue said...

so now it's time to sporcle

Keef said...

I am up to 7

Jugdish said...

17

Keef said...

25/26

Blue said...

20/24

Keef said...

Notsogood on the movie one. 15/24

Blue said...

26/26

Blue said...

had to guess on the last 2, but got it

tem said...

26/26 2 guesses as well

tem said...

15/24 fuck movies

Keef said...

22/25

Blue said...

22 as well

tem said...

23 / 25

tem said...

I missed e and i

Keef said...

I also misst C

tem said...

I would have had it not been a neighboring state

tem said...

took me awhile to spell the damn thing properly though

tem said...

"Minnesota governor: Peterson shouldn't play"



fucking everyone has an opinion on this shit.

hey, if I was brought up on charges like Peterson was I would still be working until convicted.

tem said...

if the ray rice shit had happened to me I doubt I would have even missed a day of work.

tem said...

government people work all the time while being investigated for stuff.

tem said...

innocent until proven guilty is great when it is you, but when it is someone else, fuck that shit, punish them now and then worry about the details later.

tem said...

all these people pissed about rice and Peterson should be really really pissed about hardy, but I guess he isn't a big enough name or a good enough player to be really pissed about.

Keef said...

I think the Rice shit is different because you see him punching her.

I think Hardy should be suspended because the judge found him guilty. WGAF if he's appealing, if you're found guilty, you sit

Keef said...

The AP stuff is a little trickier, legally, I think. He was punishing his kid. I don't know what the law states as far as at what point it goes from punishment to abuse. I think he's a shitty father and based in the pics, he definitely went overboard with the punishment, but I don't know how it's viewed legally

Blue said...

i agree with tem

if i got convicted of domestic violence, i wouldn't get fired/suspended from work. unless i had to go to court all the time and miss work

Blue said...

i've got no problem with sponsors saying "you're not our spokesperson anymore"

but taking away a man's living for doing something that doesn't really have any bearing on his employment is kind of stupid

Keef said...

And I don't think you can fairly compare this to you and your job.

Aitch said...

Yea the video definitely makes it a little different. Everything else is abstract, but people actually saw Rice clock his girl. And people have seen pics of AP's kid. No visual evidence from the Hardy or McDonald incidents.

Keef said...

if i got convicted of domestic violence, i wouldn't get fired/suspended from work

You aren't a public figure. Don't act like it's the same

Keef said...

It's bad for business.

Keef said...

Your company isn't going to lose sponsors if they keep you around

tem said...

"No visual evidence from the Hardy or McDonald incidents."

enough evidence exists in the hardy case for him to be convicted.

Keef said...

Hardy har har

tem said...

"You aren't a public figure. Don't act like it's the same"

shouldn't it be though?

the same groups that are bitching and moaning or pulling sponsorships are the same groups that, like my company, would just have someone on payroll until the court system worked it out.

tem said...

fucking take away their job based on accusations before the court played itself out and they would be bitching and moaning about their rights and getting fired and innocent until proven guilty.

tem said...

"It's bad for business"

oddly enough most people are saying Peterson is getting to play now because not playing him means losing which is bad for business.

play him = bad for business

bench him = bad for business

seems like you lose either way. I'd go with losing the way that you let the due process play out.

Keef said...

shouldn't it be though?


I think that's a totally separate discussion. It "should" be, but it's not. Everyone knows public figures are held to a higher standard, whatever that means

tem said...

how long would ray lewis miss now for getting indicted on murder charges?

lucky for him he got in trouble years ago and not today.

Keef said...

the same groups that are bitching and moaning or pulling sponsorships are the same groups that, like my company, would just have someone on payroll until the court system worked it out.


Fair point. But those businesses have their name attached to a team that has a guy accused of doing something pretty shitty, with evidence. Again, I'm just speaking of the Rice and AP situations. Companies don't want to sponsor a team if it's going to bring them negative press. If you work for that company and do something like that, chances are that nobody knows about it because nobody cares because you're not famous

tem said...

" Companies don't want to sponsor a team if it's going to bring them negative press."

no such thing as bad publicity.

tem said...

"But those businesses have their name attached to a team that has a guy accused of doing something pretty shitty, with evidence."


pulling your sponsorship now is just a way to get even more publicity but this time it is free publicity.

pulling your sponsorship gets your name in the news.

I didn't even remember what banner was behind that Vikings GM when he was doing his press conference, but now I know it was the Radison because they got their name all in the news because they pulled their sponsorship.

Keef said...

I don't think McDonald should be suspended because there is no guilty verdict and no physical evidence

Keef said...

We're about to get dumped on from this goddman hurricane

tem said...

put some holes in the road

Blue said...

twitter says:

"join @hman7708 and @keithsaurin in following @jimrome"

fuck you twitter

Blue said...

keith should start a pumping business

Keef said...

put some holes in the road


There be plenty of those already

Keef said...

"join @hman7708 and @keithsaurin in following @jimrome"


I should login and unfollow him. He's a duch*

Keef said...

Done

ToddPacker said...

I thought Peterson was still getting paid

Aitch said...

"enough evidence exists in the hardy case for him to be convicted"

I was just speaking to why there has been more public outcry over Rice and AP as opposed to the other 2.

The Meiz said...

HOFs

24/26

The Meiz said...

15/24 on movies

El Padrino said...

I would be fired after getting arrested. No matter the outcome. NS.

The Meiz said...

Really?

The Meiz said...

And if nobody knew you got arrested?


I'm fairly certain that's illegal, unless you signed a clause.

El Padrino said...

I'm a licensed with the FINRA (formely the New York Stock Exchange). So sort of like a clause. I have to self report if I did.

El Padrino said...

It's possible I would get reinstated. Depends on company policy. And circumstances obviously.

El Padrino said...

Ed Reed is really terrible at talking. No idea why Showtime hired him to speak.

tem said...

doesn't it depend on what you get arrested for?

like jaywalking and you are gone?

El Padrino said...

Nobody gets arrested for jay walking. Arrested booked and processed. If all that happens.

Desk appearance tickets and things like that no. (Loitering. Jay walking. Weed under a certain amount. Public drunkness) Things like that.

Jugdish said...

Any kind of DUI or drug conviction/positive drug test would end my military career. I'm not sure how domestic situations would work.

Jugdish said...

I was just speaking to why there has been more public outcry over Rice and AP as opposed to the other 2.


I think aitch is right about the pics and the video.

Wasn't Hardy already found guilty and now he is appealing?

That is different than the McDonald case, where he hasn't gone to court yet.

Jugdish said...

does Peterson get paid on that commissioners/exempt list?

Jugdish said...

Peterson is scheduled to be in court on Oct 8th with a trial date probably in 2015 sometime. He is done for awhile.

Jugdish said...

seems like you lose either way. I'd go with losing the way that you let the due process play out.



I think suspending a player who is being investigated is premature, but (assuming they still get paid) putting them on that commissioners/exempt list seems like they way to go.

Jugdish said...

according to my sources, Peterson will get his full salary

Jugdish said...

this doesn't help my fantasy team any



s

Aitch said...

This whole thing is a real slippery slope. Lots of false accusations get thrown at football players. Are you gonna suspend everyone that has anything come up?

Jugdish said...

if they're getting their full salary on that commissioners list, I see that as a fair compromise.

Jugdish said...

"After giving the situation additional thought, and being threatened by multiple sponsors, scolded by our governor, and intense scrutiny by the public, we have decided this is the appropriate course of action for the organization and for Adrian," Vikings owners Zygi Wilf and Mark Wilf said in the statement.


fixed

tem said...

"but (assuming they still get paid) putting them on that commissioners/exempt list seems like they way to go."

if they are still getting paid then I am fine with it. put them on the list until their court case is resolved.

Blue said...

ray mcdonald case, he hasn't even been charged/arrested

i didn't realize that, he was accused but the DA has not charged him. i think i'm ok with him playing

Blue said...

granted domestic violence cases, i bet probably 50% of them don't get charged because the victim doesn't cooperate.

it's much like rape

Keef said...

I think that if domestic violence is inevitable, relax and enjoy it


/BK

Blue said...

who is bk

beth?

tem said...

what's a beth?

tem said...

bk is burger king

tem said...

bold

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