Friday, September 02, 2011

AFC Preview

The AFC north has been dominated by two teams. Ravens and Steelers. And that's exactly whats going to happen again this year as the Ohio teams are inferior yet again. Especially the Bengals. I got the division shaping up to look like this.

Ravens (14-2) - Baltimore won't have to beat Pittsburgh this year when it counts. They'll handle their business with them early. They've amassed a nice little 4 year run and that has bought Joe Flacco some big time experience. I think they are ready. I think this is their year to win this division, handily, and go on to represent the AFC in the Super Bowl. Love the coach, love the running back and love the defense.

Steelers (10-6) - Stumble here a bit. They get to the QB better than anyone else, at least that's what last year taught us. But they are still a bit vulnerable to a passing attack. And the blueprint is out, spread the field they cannot cover. The league leading sack unit is a year older, collectively, one of the oldest group in the league. They are aging. In football years the defensive front is dog years old. Steelers don't have a good track record of making the playoffs the year after a Super Bowl run. I say they do because Big Ben is in his prime and he won't allow it but as far as winning a round. I don't know. Also Cleveland takes a game. Finally.

Browns (8-8) - Not bad for a rook coach installing a few different wrinkles to Mike Holgrem's West Coast offense. I hate putting bank on pre-season looks but Colt McCoy has looked pretty good if not serviceable. Very capable of leading this team to some big wins this year. Quickness and good decision making is key to running an offense like this. Hillis can slow the game down for him and the young wideouts. Now they need more weapons but it's a nice start. Stopping the run would be nice too. Browns got gashed every game.

Bengals (2-14) - I mean we all agree so what's the point.

The AFC South has been dominated by the Colts. And every year the Texans are a sexy pick to overcome Indy's dominance and advance to the playoffs for the first time in franchise history. Yet every year it doesn't happen. And whatta know, experts are picking the Texans to finally overcome and win the division. Again. Not this guy.

Colts (10-6) - Maybe the shine is wearing off here. Maybe. That coach cracks me up, it's like he isn't even alive sometimes. But Peyton is one of those players who carries his team. A hard thing to do in football because of how big the roster is and how many other players can impact a game. If the defense gives up 38, Peyton finds a way to score 39. I'm not worried about Manning. I know he's missed alot of reps and practice but maybe his reasoning for taking so many reps over the years is for times like this when he knows, at his age it could be a problem. They will throw and they will score. They still have great DE's and added Tommie Harris for cheap. Harris is trying to come back from a rash of injuries but looks good and ready. Manning plays week one. No doubt. And 10 wins is all they will need.

Texans (9-7) - I mean they got Wade Phillips. A boneheaded head coach but a fine defensive coordinator. Will his impact, with the length of the lockout, be felt this year? Standing Mario Williams up is risky I think. They improved pass defense in free agency so I expect them to be able to hold their own against the pass happy teams but you worry about Foster (although not that much they are deep at the tailback spot). Schaub puts up the numbers but he hasn't won a big game in his life. Kubiak has done some good in Houston but his teams never get over the hump. He'll be gone if 9-7 isn't enough to break the playoff cusp.

Jags (7-9) - Jack Del Rio teams always play better than you realize. MJD is just awesome. No other way to put it. He's Ray Rice before Ray Rice got drafted. The pass defense is still woeful, not good when Peyton is in your division. They addressed that in the off-season so we'll see if that helps but they still need to find a pass rusher or just a collective pass rush to work off of. Corners can't lock anyone up past 4 seconds. You wonder how long Garrard will hold off the Gabbert. Tough schedule too. Titans slightly worse.

Titans (5-11) - New coach, new qb, new contract for star RB = disaster. Major overhaul on both sides of the ball. With the lockout affecting all the OTA's and "voluntary" sessions offered by the staff how can the players possibly grasp every new element? Even Hasselbeck admitted he's still learning the playbook. He's also one clean shot from being out a month so I expect to see Jake Locker at some point this year.

The AFC East. Damn east coast bias with the damn NY and Boston teams front and center just like in baseball. Tough pill for the haters to swallow but it's a two horse race for sure. Buffalo and Miami are just no match for the Jets or the Pats.

Pats (12-4) - Pats were 14-2 last year no? Why would anyone think they won't win double digits again. After a couple of years struggling on defense Belichik's young defense is finally starting to come to fruition. I mean they were +28 last year in takeaways, hard to duplicate but you'll see a more sound defense front to back. With the offense humming along the Pats are nowhere near falling off.

Jets (10-6) - That defense is still great. Not GOAT but great. So their inability to score won't hinder them as much as some might think. It is a painful offense though. Last year's roster was much better than this years. They lost a huge player for them in Brad Smith. Sanchez is still a long way from what one would call a playmaker at his position. Shonn Greene, jury still out. I will say this. They will not, and I guarantee this, not make it to a third straight AFC championship game. I'm cringing just by putting them in the playoffs. But I'm trying to be subjective here. My anti-Jet sentiment tells me they'll miss the playoffs but my football sense creeps in and says otherwise so 10-6 is enough for a Wild Card.

Fins (8-8) - Defensively this team is good. They'll hang around in most games. It's up to Chad Henne and the offense to score when needed. This team just screams .500 to me. 50% of the time they will fail to score a go ahead late score. Pats and Jets twice is a rough go.

Bills (6-10) - Watch out for the Bills. They will throw a scrugi in someone's suicide pool one week. Fitzy is not a bad QB, smart and accurate and he is armed with some big time speedsters. If they can catch they could really make some noise and be very competitive.

The AFC West was the Chargers division to lose year in and year out and last year they pretty much lost it with another 2-3 start coupled with a team on the rise in the Kansas City Cheifs. Something that didn't happen in the years prior when the Chargers would sleepwalk until week 9 or so. Could they finally reach their potential and threaten for a top AFC record?

Chargers (12-4) - If you look at the roster they have some incredible talent at key positions. Gates, Rivers, Jackson is back, and the offensive line is solid with Hardwick and McNeil. They can score, always have been able to do that. Easy out of the gate schedule will probably benefit this team from falling behind early yet again. Their special teams could not get any worse. Just impossible. So expect that to improve a bit. Can they stop other teams? They can rush the passer and the new defensive coordinator has a decent track record in San Fran. The division is tougher this year with KC still a threat and an on the cusp Raider team and Denver isn't run by a clown rodeo any longer. I still think they win because Rivers is the best QB in the division by a mile.

Cheifs (9-7) - Well they can run it. Which is good. They have a nice little team going on in Arrowhead. I think they are quite there yet in fact they probably lose a game or two from last year. Tougher schedule (Jets, Pats, Colts, Steelers, Packers to name a few) and no one will be surprised. They have 4 primetime games too, not easy for a young team sometimes. If they spread the ball around a bit more when they do throw I think that will serve them well. And like I mentioned before the Raiders and Broncos are not going to be easy wins this year.

Raiders (9-7) - I think the Raiders improve a game here and get some Wild Card talk late in the year. They are very physical. And big. We've seen in the past that teams that play that style win. They just have to have that killer mentality on the road and against non AFC opponents. With the defense and the run game they will be in every game. Keep in mind they swept the division last year. They too have a tough schedule but I think they have an upset or two in them.
Broncos (6-10) - John Fox will restore order at Mile High. I think Von Miller is going to be special. I had a hard time giving them 6 wins because of the schedule but within the division there are some wins to be had. The shift back to 4-3 is going to pay off immediately and I wouldn't be suprised if they are top 5 in the league in sacks when it's all said and done.

AFC Playoffs (BYES Ravens, Pats)
Chargers over Steelers
Colts over Jets

Ravens over Colts
Chargers over Pats

Ravens over Chargers

AFC Champ : Ravens.


98 comments:

Blue said...

good work, i liked it

Blue said...

oh yeah...first!!!!

El Padrino said...

thanks

El Padrino said...

clown rodeo

ha

i am legend

Blue said...

there's still a lot of clowns there

Blue said...

i agree with just about everything...except I think the chiefs take a huge step backwards this year, 6-10, and the raiders do as well.

raiders defense is awful and they lost too much talent, and they're relying on a retard to play QB.

Blue said...

broncos will be better, and if (AHIIK) they don't have any major injuries, they'll win 8 games

their first team offense/defense is good, just no depth

Blue said...

broncos also get dumerville back so as awful as the defense was last year, they get two stud pass rushers this year, and yes, Von Miller might be the next Derrick Thomas

Blue said...

and done

Blue said...

i'm such a homer, if i was doing the AFC preview, i'd have the broncos winning 10 games and could easily convince myself they could win more

Keef said...

Good post

El Padrino said...

thanks

El Padrino said...

"i'm such a homer, if i was doing the AFC preview, i'd have the broncos winning 10 games"

can you write a Giants preview

i cant do it

Blue said...

my pure hatred for eli would make the preview illogical

Keef said...

Giants suck donkey dick.


Preview done

El Padrino said...

well that negates everyone since everyone hates elisha

El Padrino said...

i'm deathly afraid of a 6-10 season

El Padrino said...

although, bill cowher......

El Padrino said...

offense is fine im worried about the defense

Blue said...

they're thin at DB, but having a good pass rush should help cover that up a little.

i don't like that they let Boss and Steve Smith go, but Hakeem Nicks looks ready for primetime.

i see 9-7 for the Giants this year in a pretty average division

Keef said...

FLAGSTAFF, ARIZONA –  A 45-year-old grandfather forced his three young grandsons to hike 18 miles (29 kilometers) in triple-digit heat at the Grand Canyon and denied them food and water, authorities said.

Christopher Carlson remained jailed Thursday on six counts of child abuse. The boys, ages 12, 9 and 8, told investigators that they had been hit, pushed, choked, pinched and squeezed during trips on a popular trail at the canyon's South Rim last month.


He's 45 and has a 12 year old grandson?

El Padrino said...

"i don't like that they let Boss and Steve Smith go, but Hakeem Nicks looks ready for primetime."

steve smith is a bitch, could been pizaid if he accepted the offer a year ago, extension, his agent wanted to test FA, then he blew his knee

they couldnt afford boss

with a full off-season they would have, they didnt get under the cap until about 3 weeks ago

El Padrino said...

Nicks is the truth

El Padrino said...

and they can run the ball got three backs again

El Padrino said...

fuck it im back 11-5 baby!

Blue said...

was watching the bengals/colts game last night on NFLN and they said that Carson Palmer is not threatening to come back to the team next week.

he's doing it so they'll have to pay him.

Blue said...

now threatening


fuck

Blue said...

heard it on mike and mike this morning too...funny that ESPN isn't runnign with the story on the front page.

Keef said...

I'll bet you a brazilian dollars the giants don't go 11-5

El Padrino said...

brazilian real?

El Padrino said...

i've eaten pizza 5 times this week

badapapbapapa
im lovin it

Keef said...

That's mcdonalds

El Padrino said...

i know

Blue said...

sbarro's?

Keef said...

A year ago at this time, the Giants were four games out in the NL West. The Phillies were three back in the NL East. You know how their seasons turned out. In 2009, the Tigers blew a 3 �-game lead, entering September, in the AL Central. In 1995, the Mariners came from 7½ back to win the AL West. And we're not even going to get into what happened to the 2007 Mets.



Hehehehehe

El Padrino said...

lick my balls

Blue said...

i remember that 95 mariners team...twas suite

El Padrino said...

cant find a better man

El Padrino said...

with all the cheap beer, tp, do you even get close to being sloshed by kickoff?

El Padrino said...

man Florio loves when the jags blackout

Blue said...

"cant find a better man"

pearl jam is my favorite concert i've ever been too...great live show

Blue said...

not as good as when j-stew sings betterman but a close 2nd

El Padrino said...

that was at the garden, next time around i might jump on it

im real late to the pearl jam scene

Mize said...

"with all the cheap beer, tp, do you even get close to being sloshed by kickoff?"


Nobody likes a beer snob.

Mize said...

"im real late to the pearl jam scene"


Only by 20 years.

El Padrino said...

"Nobody likes a beer snob."

back up, i drink it but not to get drunk

El Padrino said...

"Only by 20 years."

rap was good back then

El Padrino said...

its all alot of oysters but no pearls

El Padrino said...

remember when you used to write letters

crazy

Big Fat Weasel said...

"He's 45 and has a 12 year old grandson?"

Look how he treats his grandkids? are you shocked that his kid rebelled and got knocked up or knocked someone up young?

Todd Packer said...

"with all the cheap beer, tp, do you even get close to being sloshed by kickoff?"

not really

Todd Packer said...

"pearl jam is my favorite concert i've ever been too...great live show"

always grate* everytime I have seen them

Todd Packer said...

I would be at pj20 this weekend if it wasn't a gameday weekend. trying to tell cmtp that I saved money by not going to pj20 and parley it into a summit pass... not working though

El Padrino said...

you can do it you are the master

Todd Packer said...

making sausage and peppers right now for tomorrow. do you put a little tomato sauce in yours ep?

El Padrino said...

that's a different s&p

that's s&p marinara

so yeah if i feel like that i do

El Padrino said...

piece

big day

Keef said...

its all alot of oysters but no pearls


Counting crows

Keef said...

My mom watches bgas. every other Friday. She picket* her up at 9:00 and then I laid down on the couch and fell asleep until now

Keef said...

Picket, nice

Keef said...

INDIANAPOLIS -- The Indianapolis Colts have hired former Ohio State coach Jim Tressel as a game-day consultant.
Coach Jim Caldwell made the announcement during a conference call with reporters Friday.
Caldwell says Tressel will serve primarily as a consultant on replays, which will allow the other coaches to focus on their individual jobs without having to worry about making decisions on replay reviews.

Keef said...

A federal judge ruled Friday that Roger Clemens must face another trial on charges of lying about drug use, although the judge criticized prosecutors' mishandling of evidence during a July mistrial and questioned the fairness of making the former star pitcher pay to defend himself twice.

Todd Packer said...

"My mom watches bgas. every other Friday. She picket* her up at 9:00 and then I laid down on the couch and fell asleep until now"

nice

Keef said...

back up, i drink it but not to get drunk



You're such a pimp

Mize said...

"back up, i drink it but not to get drunk"


Beer snob. Got it.

Keef said...

Wall

Mize said...

Tell me about it.

Bored out of my gourd.

Keef said...

I'm watching Dallas/Miami. Boring

Mize said...

podcasts over here

Keef said...

Tried watching a game on MLBN but it's blacked out. That doesn't make sense because it's an east coast game

tem said...

Fargo

Mize said...

Go far

Keef said...

Did mize really bust out a LMAO on Twitter?

Pass the Lysol said...

geez, cmkod got into quite the bar fight last night


she got attacked by a little piece of whisky tango out of nowhere, so cmkod just grabbs her by the hair on the back of the head and slamms her head against the table...boom, girls out

then, WT's WT brother comes up and grabs cmkod from behind and body slams her and gets on top of her....leading to cmkod punching him twice square in the face before he jumps off her crying about how he's just trying to protect his sister and to stop hitting him.

glad cmkod didn't get hurt and nobody got arrested, I'd be a whole lot less amused and a whole lot more pissed if either of those things had happened

Keef said...

Awesome

Keef said...

Time to go camping

Mize said...

"Did mize really bust out a LMAO on Twitter?"


Yes. Its an effective tool on twitter, even if I dislike it.

Mize said...

cmkod has old man strength

Pass the Lysol said...

she has a dangerous combination of size/strength and fighting experience; throw a little crazy into the mix.... and well, definitely not advisable to pick a fight with her

tem said...

Need to know why cmkod got attcked

Mize said...

cmkod does seem fighty

Pass the Lysol said...

Need to know why cmkod got attcked


apparently her and her friends were laughing loudly and the girl was at the next table and basically came over and started screaming at cmkod and her friends to stop laughing at her and her friends (with the whole "you think you're better than us" crap mixed in)

cmkod gets up and gets in her face and tells her that nobody is laughing at her or anyone else at her table, and that she better go sit down right now.

girl then pushes cmkod in the chest; cmkod doesn't get budged from the push, and just reaches out, grabs her by the hair on the back of the head and bent her backwards while slamming her head into the table.

Pass the Lysol said...

that was when psycho chick's PoS brother comes in, grabs cmkod from behind and body slams her.

at that point, the girl starts crawling towards cmkod while she is fighting her brother, and cmkod's friend then jumped in and demolished that bitch again.


I'm glad nobody got arrested, and I'm glad the instigator got hurt pretty bad....I wish the brother would have gotten worse for the wear, but looking at cmkod's bruised and scraped knuckles this morning, I'd say she got him pretty good too.

Pass the Lysol said...

"cmkod does seem fighty"


thank you! I just shared that with her, I was telling her that at dinner tonight, she wasn't buying it.

Todd Packer said...

kod stories are the best

Mize said...

Trying to get this Zeke shit straightened out in the Keeper...

Mize said...

Oh snap. fmH just SHOTS FIRED on H's fb page

Mize said...

So one of my buddies went a wedding yesterday. As a party favor, the bride gave the women vibrators.

NS and awesome.

Mize said...

Oh snap. SHOTS FIRED on H's fb page.


*fixed

Mize said...

You guise suck.

Big Fat Weasel said...

I may be single by the time the summit rolls around. NS.

Keef said...

Camping was suite

Keef said...

I may be single by the time the summit rolls around. NS.



Over the name?

Big Fat Weasel said...

God no. Other issues Keef

Keef said...

Oh ok

Keef said...

Keeper draft in 20 minutes

Big Fat Weasel said...

Relationships suck, man.

Keef said...

Nah

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