Friday, September 25, 2009

El Pad's Weekly Betting Guide

Fuck baseball.

Last week 2-3
Overall 5-5 (-$250)

PENN STATE - 10 over Iowa
Revenge against the weasels. Clark never forgave himself for that horrid pick that led to Iowa's game winning FG last year, essentially crushing the national title dreams of young Joe Paterno. Penn State will suffocate the Hawkeyes Saturday night. I just know it. ($200)

UTAH -14 over Louisville
Cardinals are not very good. The Utes are very mad. Bad things will happen. ($100)

BALTIMORE -13 over Browns
I told myself on Sunday night that no matter what the line was I was taking the Ravens. And 13 scares no one. Browns stink, Ravens are no joke. They boast silly ATS trends too. 10-2 ATS in their last 12 vs AFC North. While Cleveland is 0-9-1 in their last vs AFC North. Whoop that trick. I might take Baltimore every week no matter who they play. How bout that. ($200)

HOUSTON -4 over Jacksonville
Man did Houston shut me up or what. Holy shit. What a great win, not sure what the deal is with the Titans defense but Houston played their guts out and wanted that game badly. They could have easily folded down 21-7 early. I am obligated to bet them this week. Jacksonville is a pretty sorry team. Houston should rout them with that offense. Just like the Bal/Cle game you have two the Texans 7-2 ATS in their last nine while the Jags are 2-7 ATS in the same nine game period. No brainer. ($250)

New Orleans @ BUFFALO over 52 points scored
Due to weather I am cancelling this bet. Replacing the bet with Ten/NY under.

Titans +2.5 over J-E-T-S (Also under 37, $50)
I think the Titans get on the board here. I am pretty sure Sanchez has his first bad game. Titans remember losing to the Jets last year, a loss that was their first at that time. A little revenge factor I like to think about. Fisher is a motivator and I think he fixed some issues from that Texans game. Plus the Jets don't have the firepower that the Texans do. Low scoring, trench fight of a game. Titans 17, Jets 13. ($150)

784 comments:

1 – 200 of 784   Newer›   Newest»
Beth said...

Nice post freak.

Just Plain H said...

Well played Beth

Just Plain H said...

EP, did you wake up early or something? 6:40 am is early for you

Just Plain H said...

I need to find a new piece of strange I think

Just Plain H said...

I'm getting bored

Beth said...

"I need to find a new piece of strange I think"

Or probably another way for you to say the above: "I need to play another show"

Jugdish said...

Houston -4

I can see that. Only reason I'm staying away from that one is they typically have a let down game after a big win...also its a division game. Houston "should" cover...but you never know with these guys

Just Plain H said...

"Or probably another way for you to say the above: "I need to play another show""

Good point.

Just Plain H said...

Beth, you dry out from the flood yet?

Just Plain H said...

I've had one fare this morning.

Woe.

Just Plain H said...

I wanna go on a run, but I don't have any subject matter

Just Plain H said...

I may pick up the new guitar hero today

Jugdish said...

do you have yogging shoes?

Just Plain H said...

Or fight night

Just Plain H said...

Me? Yog? That's funny

Jugdish said...

beth has been yogging in flippers lately

Just Plain H said...

I get winded walking

Just Plain H said...

Did you yog trying to get away from that train? Maybe if you ran you wouldn't have had to yump

Jugdish said...

...and fuck the stairs!

Jugdish said...

i tried yogging, but yogging in flip flops on a train bridge is not the better


...and yump made me laugh

Beth said...

"Beth, you dry out from the flood yet?"

Yeah, things are almost back to normal around here, at least around me. All the schools are back open and the ground is almost dry again, although we are supposed to get more rain today and tomorrow.

Now everyone's just waiting to see if Obama will declare us a disaster area.

Just Plain H said...

Thanks, I try

Just Plain H said...

You could pull a reverse Kanye and say that Obama hates white people

Beth said...

"You could pull a reverse Kanye and say that Obama hates white people"

But then Jimmy Carter would call me racist.

Just Plain H said...

This is true

Jugdish said...

the only person who cares what jimmy carter thinks is jimmy carter

Just Plain H said...

I need to get some more blu ray movies

Just Plain H said...

Any suggestions?

Jugdish said...

brokeback mountain



/steve

Just Plain H said...

I also need to come up with a good name and pic for Beth...

Beth said...

Clearly you have forgotten about O:FB.

Jugdish said...

do us all a favor...let beth keep her pic or choose her own. she has been doing a fine yob

El Padrino said...

hi kids

Beth said...

Oh look, Eli is here.

ToddPacker said...

"You could pull a reverse Kanye and say that Obama hates white people"

there are white people in atlanta?

(s)

ToddPacker said...

ole miss is not good

1st day @ Keith’s New Job said...

eli is the worse

Jugdish said...

keef...get to work!

ToddPacker said...

"eli is the worse"

i agree... i hate all them mannings

El Padrino said...

"EP, did you wake up early or something? 6:40 am is early for you"

yea had a london conf call, next time i'm doing that shit from home

1st day @ Keith’s New Job said...

"keef...get to work!"

I know. I was planning on leaving 30 minutes ago (EST)

ToddPacker said...

"keef...get to work!"

make the drunks happy

ToddPacker said...

"yea had a london conf call, next time i'm doing that shit from home"

ep was talking to nekkid potter this am?

1st day @ Keith’s New Job said...

mize will nerve* be happy

wadr

Jugdish said...

you don't know anything about me


/mize

El Padrino said...

"ep was talking to nekkid potter this am?"


swear to god a "potter" joke was dropped this morning by this brit dude, something about how he is like 30 and still plays a kid

it was corny, just like real brits

1st day @ Keith’s New Job said...

piece

El Padrino said...

keef did you sell anything yet or just traning

Jugdish said...

he drank most of the profits

Jugdish said...

he also got a good look at a t bone steak by sticking his head up a bulls ass...


s

ToddPacker said...

bull's ass wall

Jugdish said...

haha, bulls ass...that's great

blue said...

i'd rather take the butcher's word for it

blue said...

way to go rockies...doing your best mess impression

blue said...

if the rockies lose this lead following up the broncos choking away their lead last year...i might have to woe

ToddPacker said...

"i might have to woe"

woe away... maybe we should start a new LoW page

ToddPacker said...

how big was the rockies lead in the wc race, blue?

blue said...

it got up to 5 games I think with 12 to go

Beth said...

"if the rockies lose this lead following up the broncos choking away their lead last year...i might have to woe"

And I might have to celebrate.

blue said...

you're rooting for the giants?

ToddPacker said...

"And I might have to celebrate"

rockies will hold on

blue said...

braves have a good closing schedule though...7 games against the nats and 3 with the fish (or fins as lp calls them)

blue said...

maybe we'll get another 1 game playoff

El Padrino said...

marlins have fins ya know

ToddPacker said...

"7 games against the nats and 3 with the fish"

the fish have a good running game with that wildcat

Beth said...

Braves are 8-2 in their last 10 I think, although they're still 3.5 back in the wildcard.

blue said...

as much as the rockies suck...they still have the best record in baseball in september...or at least they did until they lost the last two games

Beth said...

See but now the Braves have the extra motivation of winning for Bobby's retirement next year, so the Rockies are in big trouble.

s

El Padrino said...

braves just defecated on the mets

El Padrino said...

tp you never adviced me on what your 2nd bro does, first bro is with merrill i think

ToddPacker said...

"tp you never adviced me on what your 2nd bro does, first bro is with merrill i think"

bartender... he's trying to get into some event planning position at the ritz-carlton or plaza.

El Padrino said...

ah food industry

makes sense to be here, fucking capital of the world

El Padrino said...

sorry

having a rough morning

Beth said...

"having a rough morning"

More Giants' injuries? Or just mad busy yo?

ToddPacker said...

"makes sense to be here, fucking capital of the world"

yeah, he was doing real well in st. pete, but wanted a change.. he worked in lot of places hamptons, st louis, denver, san diego, tampa, st pete, miami... he likes to move around every couple of years

El Padrino said...

"More Giants' injuries? Or just mad busy yo?"

just, just a shit load of woe that no one wants to here*

but the giant secondary does concern me as the season progress

El Padrino said...

"yeah, he was doing real well in st. pete, but wanted a change.. he worked in lot of places hamptons, st louis, denver, san diego, tampa, st pete, miami... he likes to move around every couple of years"

so no kids and single, good for him, all the best

kodiac said...

"its keef's fault...he is hammered all the time now"

keith is the new kod

-I don't drink that much these days; haven't had a drink in 7 days (ns).
-But drunk kod will make a return tonight (if LOV AD is up and running)

ToddPacker said...

"so no kids and single, good for him, all the best"

yes... hit up foley's one day, i'm sure he will hook you up... i think he's working saturdays and sundays

El Padrino said...

"-I don't drink that much these days; haven't had a drink in 7 days (ns)."


i just can't do it, i am on a every other day program to wean myself off, it's sad, i was jonesing for a drink last night but beat the urge

Jugdish said...

i haven't had a drink since jumped the bridge


ill be back on the wagon soon though...starting to workout again

El Padrino said...

"yes... hit up foley's one day, i'm sure he will hook you up... i think he's working saturdays and sundays"

i will, i know exactly where it is and actually, have always wanted to go in there, great baseball bar from what my friends tell me

ns

El Padrino said...

25 days til jamaica

ToddPacker said...

"-I don't drink that much these days; haven't had a drink in 7 days (ns)."

is was an (s) comment kod... but i'll try and hit some AD tonight

kodiac said...

is was an (s) comment kod...

ah, I see. Well, it wasn't far off from the truth. Before this Spring, I had been drinking 6 or 7 nights a week for the past, um, 7 years or so (ns)

kodiac said...

i'll try and hit some AD tonight

suite; I'm hoping as. is there too so I can get into some ridiculous slapper

Jugdish said...

just came back from the flight line and took a couple of this NASA plane.

for some reason they just call it The Rev.

Jugdish said...

pics

kodiac said...

I slept for 13 hours last night; I think I'm finally getting over this swine cold

ToddPacker said...

as will be full of franzia, so he'll be in a slappy mood

El Padrino said...

looks like rev

ToddPacker said...

"pics"

cool pics

Beth said...

"as will be full of franzia, so he'll be in a slappy mood"

If it's franzia, i think "bitchy" might better describe his mood.

El Padrino said...

beth, and don't lie, do you like porn?

my experience with most women is that they do not like it, even though some say they do

Jugdish said...

Its actually called the guppy, or super guppy

nasa uses it to fly hardware to and from Florida, and it looks weird when you see it flying by

Meiz said...

"Brooklyn Brawler said...

meiz fishes alot, meiz you keeping this game and eating or what?"


Conservation. Catch & release unless I catch a real trophy.

Meiz said...

"deke how do you fish for them, bobber? nightcrawlers?"


Usually bobber & nightcrawler when I'm fishing over the dam. If I'm out on the lake, I like spinners, spoons, and crankbaits. Off the pier up north, leeches work well. Topwater cranks & poppers for night fishing.

El Padrino said...

are you allowed? assuming it's bigger than required

ToddPacker said...

"Usually bobber & nightcrawler when I'm fishing over the dam. If I'm out on the lake, I like spinners, spoons, and crankbaits. Off the pier up north, leeches work well. Topwater cranks & poppers for night fishing."

::huge flank steak::

Meiz said...

"Jugdish said...

AJA, I hope the Lions finish 7-8-1"


Fuck you

Meiz said...

"tem said...

i hope it is 7-7-2"


and fuck you for pulling out technicalities. Goddman accountants.

El Padrino said...

cranks and poppers are drugs, not bait

Meiz said...

"Brooklyn Brawler said...

disaster, there goes the lombardi trophy"


Aaron Rouse isn't awful. I have no idea why the Pack cut him for a guy that has never played 3-4. I think it was a shitty move.

Meiz said...

"are you allowed? assuming it's bigger than required"


No size minimum on panfish. I think bass need to be 15"

El Padrino said...

"Aaron Rouse isn't awful. I have no idea why the Pack cut him for a guy that has never played 3-4. I think it was a shitty move."

actually i was surprised they got a good player on waivers like that, dude had 9 tackles LAST WEEK!

wasn't he a stud at va tech?

Jugdish said...

and fuck you for pulling out technicalities. Goddman accountants.


tem never pulls out


/exfmtem

Spaceman Spiff said...

except for that one time

Jugdish said...

except for that one time

IN YOU FACE! exfmtem

Meiz said...

bass need to be 14", walleye 15"

Meiz said...

"actually i was surprised they got a good player on waivers like that, dude had 9 tackles LAST WEEK!"



Exactly

Deluxe said...

No size minimum on panfish. I think bass need to be 15"


No minimum on white bass, large and smallmouth need to be 14".

I noticed that different lakes have different restrictions. Also there are some restrictions based on whether or not you are north or south of hwy 10.

Deluxe said...

I understand bring in another safety because depth isn't there, but the last I expected was they would cut Rouse. He hasn't really played up to his potential though.

Jugdish said...

No minimum on white bass,


not with the kkk involved

Deluxe said...

black crappie killed on site.

Deluxe said...

looks like soft porn kink Joe Francis to be released from prison with a year of supervision.

El Padrino said...

"So What's Patello-Femoral Arthritis?

Simply put, it's the end result that happens when the patella (kneecap to you and me) keeps slipping out of the groove formed by the femor and the tibia. If left untreated, the joint turns arthritic, causing tremendous pain."


intersting, i was very close to going to FIU for a career in sports medicine
ns

Deluxe said...

I've taken a liking to Sudoku, keeps the mind sharp.

isiah thompson said...

No minimum on white bass, large and smallmouth need to be 14".


goddman black bass get all the breaks

Thanks Osama!

Spaceman Spiff said...

"Simply put, it's the end result of not paying the barber"

*fized

Jugdish said...

I've taken a liking to Sudoku, keeps the mind sharp, plus it helps pass the time when I'm on the shitter.



fixed

isiah thompson said...

I've taken a liking to Sudoku, keeps the mind sharp.


so does vodker*-redbulls

Deluxe said...

sounds painfull.

isiah thompson said...

just, just a shit load of woe that no one wants to here*



I'd love to hear it.

ns

isiah thompson said...

Flash Forward looks like it will be a quality show.

isiah thompson said...

I almost got caught by the big-big boss looking at the booty shots on jug's blog.

thanks jug

Deluxe said...

I'm looking forward to a delicious gyro tomorrow at Octoberfest.

isiah thompson said...

has jug made sexy time with any of those chicks?

Jugdish said...

i do what i can

isiah thompson said...

I'm looking forward to Sam Adams Octoberfest beer tonight.

Jugdish said...

nope...

Jugdish said...

although i eyefucked the hell out of one the other day


s

Deluxe said...

I wish Sopranos was still on. I wonder if David Chase will ever do a movie to close it all out.

Deluxe said...

how are the injuries doing?

Meiz said...

A good old fashioned eye fucking. I do a lot of eye raping at work.

Jugdish said...

actually doing pretty good. im back in the gym doing cardio workouts. ribs and back healing up nice...arm is taking a little longer, but im noticing progress.

isiah thompson said...

jug try to bang the one in the black dress and turquoise dress at the same time.

Spaceman Spiff said...

shocker

nsfw

beff reenact this pic, will make your ring look awesome

El Padrino said...

that was lovely

Spaceman Spiff said...

yessir

isiah thompson said...

blocked on spiffg's link, what was it?

Deluxe said...

Bowling did you know:

You walk about one mile during three games!

You use 134 muscles during a four
step approach!

isiah thompson said...

there is a nekkid titty pic on jug's blog, nice work sir.

Beth said...

"beth, and don't lie, do you like porn?"

Wait, are you only asking about the porn I'm not in?


AJA, I actually do but just not all the time and I have to be in the right mood for it. And a few drinks definitely helps to get me in that right mood. ns

Meiz said...

"AJA, I actually do but just not all the time and I have to be in the right mood for it. And a few drinks definitely helps to get me in that right mood. ns"



I'm going to the bathroom. Be right back.

Deluxe said...

meiz, you or the Doggfather want my porn collection?

El Padrino said...

"blocked on spiffg's link, what was it?"

pussy lips

Spaceman Spiff said...

"blocked on spiffg's link, what was it?"

in the foreground, a ladie's behind with her shocking herself. in the background, the mirror, she has a smile on her face. great shot

Meiz said...

"meiz, you or the Doggfather want my porn collection?"


Is this real life "40 Year Old Virgin"?

Jesus christ, no.

isiah thompson said...

"I've got a tough job. I've got to put these guys from different worlds together, right?' Pearl said. "I've got guys from Chicago, Detroit ... I'm talking about the 'hood! And I've got guys from Grainger County, where they wear the hood.''


Bruce Pearl is deke's new favorite coach.

Deluxe said...

I figured Dogg would, it's like 5 or 6 I think.

isiah thompson said...

As Lee and Baker were mobbed by teammates in the dugout, relief pitcher Angel Guzman slapped the side of Lee's helmet, causing Lee to experience neck spasms that forced him to come out of the game for defense in the bottom of the ninth.

hopefully it didn't hurt his vajeen

1st day @ Keith’s New Job said...

"keef did you sell anything yet or just traning"

Mostly training this week & next but I solt* a 50 case display of Arbor Mist. Apparently mize shops there

Deluxe said...

I hate when it's slow at work on a Friday.

1st day @ Keith’s New Job said...

"I'm hoping as. is there too so I can get into some ridiculous slapper"

Maybe early evening (EST), but not after that

El Padrino said...

Arbour Mist

blue said...

oh, a slapper between arbor mist and franzia....good lord

El Padrino said...

friday meeting are the worst

stomping on LOV principles with this shit

1st day @ Keith’s New Job said...

"Arbour Mist"

Keep trying

blue said...

that's the british version

JFreak said...

Anyone know anything to do in Fresno?

isiah thompson said...

friday meeting are the worst

stomping on LOV principles with this shit


1st email of the day was the boss saying she'd be out today and monday.

great way to start a friday

isiah thompson said...

Anyone know anything to do in Fresno?


crip walk?

Spaceman Spiff said...

"Anyone know anything to do in Fresno?"

stay alive

blue said...

"Anyone know anything to do in Fresno?"

fresno is the worse

Meiz said...

"I hate when it's slow at work on a Friday."


You're one of the people that fucks up the curve for everybody else.

blue said...

h needs a new avatar

blue said...

why would you choose to go to Fresno?

blue said...

i have heard (via ESPN) that they have a winery at the school...

when the only good thing you can say about an area is that they have a winery at the local college, that's probably not good.

1st day @ Keith’s New Job said...

Fucked up

blue said...

I went to HS 2 hours north of Fresno and have been there a total of one time...and it was one too many

JFreak said...

"why would you choose to go to Fresno?"

Got a 4 day job there.

1st day @ Keith’s New Job said...

"I went to HS 2 hours north of Fresno and have been there a total of one time...and it was one too many"

Blue would rather live near Al Qaeda terrorist cells

isiah thompson said...

Fucked up


just read that, the perp if he's ever caught, tried and convicted should get the death penalty - and the method of electrocution* should be by choking - rip his balls off and shove them down his throat.

El Padrino said...

"Anyone know anything to do in Fresno?"

here freak

isiah thompson said...

here freak


never unfunny

Spaceman Spiff said...

it was someone involved with the movie ET, he offered her reese's pieces

blue said...

"Blue would rather live near Al Qaeda terrorist cells"

FBI here at least caught our guy...the FBI in NYC is not the better

Deluxe said...

"You're one of the people that fucks up the curve for everybody else."

I don't mind it being slow normallly but makes for a slow Friday. I just want it to be the weekend.

El Padrino said...

keef thanks for brightening up the friday with that link

1st day @ Keith’s New Job said...

It's not my yob* to brighten up the day

blue said...

"I don't mind it being slow normallly but makes for a slow Friday. I just want it to be the weekend."

deluxe prefers work to home life...got it.

isiah thompson said...

FBI here at least caught our guy...the FBI in NYC is not the better

actually wouldn't it be the FBI in Boston as all the flights left from Logan Airport?

more proof that Boston sucks, wadr H.

isiah thompson said...

did all the flights leave from boston, a couple did right?

not sure I got that one right

blue said...

"It's not my yob* to brighten up the day"

yes it is...it falls in the "other duties as assigned" part of your job description, right under the "setup franzia display" part.

Jugdish said...

It's not my yob* to brighten up the day


unless buying a box of franzia brightens your day ep...

blue said...

the 3 flights that crashed into shit left from logan. United 93 left from Newark

El Padrino said...

"did all the flights leave from boston, a couple did right?"

boston, dulles, newark

Jugdish said...

franzia i2i

1st day @ Keith’s New Job said...

they all crashed into shit

blue said...

i meant that they're saying there are a shitload of other people in this cell and the contacts this guy has are in NYC, the FBI knows who they are but for some reason can't or won't move on them

El Padrino said...

ticket agent in Maine (i think) thought twice about putting Atta on the plane to boston

atta was the ringleader

isiah thompson said...

eyemuffs ep

blue said...

"they all crashed into shit"


ground≠shit

El Padrino said...

"i meant that they're saying there are a shitload of other people in this cell and the contacts this guy has are in NYC, the FBI knows who they are but for some reason can't or won't move on them"

the cell was busted, the dude from colorado was actually from queens and he had bought mad shit from a beauty store like acetone, clerk wondered what the hell and he was like i got alot of girfriends

El Padrino said...

eyepatches but eye muffs is funny

Deluxe said...

"deluxe prefers work to home life...got it."

I like my job if that's what you mean.

Jugdish said...

what is deluxe's yob?

isiah thompson said...

eyepatches but eye muffs is funny


someone dropped eyemuffs yesterday, bleu maybe?

isiah thompson said...

block

1st day @ Keith’s New Job said...

"If I'm out on the lake, I like spinners, spoons, and crankbaits"

LP ♥s crank baits

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