The East:
Can I just say, "Celtics Win" and be done with the East? No? Fine then, here we go...
#1 Boston (66-16) vs. #8 Atlanta (37-45)
Season Series: Celtics 3-0
I really don't have anything to write about this series other than; Celtics in a sweep.
#2 Detroit (59-23) vs. #7 Philadelphia (40-42)
Season Series: Tied 2-2
Does the city of Philadelphia even care that the Sixers are in the playoffs? I don't think they do. I was shocked to learn that they were the seventh seed when I looked at the standing a couple of days ago. Philly has a nice young team, but Detriot's front-court and bench are just too much for them. I'm generously giving them a game though; Detroit in five.
#3 Orlando (52-30) vs. #6 Toronto (41-41)
Season Series: Magic 2-1
Orlando is legit. Toronto is not. From the Magic's point of view, you know about Dwight Howard, dude's a beast. They took a gamble on signing Rashard Lewis and it paid off, but the real reason they're a number three seed is because of Hedo Turkoglu. They have an inside-outside game and Turkoglu takes and makes the big shots when they need him to. A strong 1-2-3 punch. Everyone knows their role and does their job. I'm shocked that Stan Van Gundy is actually a good coach, I thought he was hiding behind D Wade and Shaq when he was in Miami.
Much like last year, I really don't know that much about the Raptors, and I really don't care to. Last year was a fluke; they're a .500 team in a bad conference. Orlando's too much for them to handle, but they may steal one at home. Magic in five.
#4 Cleveland (45-37) vs. #6 Washington (43-39)
Season Series: Tied 2-2
How did Cleveland make it to the Finals last year? I'm still scratching my head over that one. Danny Ferry has done a whole lot of tinkering and I don't think it made them a better team. Lebron can take over a game
and a series by himself, but the rest of these guys need to step it up. Winning 45 games in the Eastern Conference is not acceptable. If Lebron doesn't skip town after his contract is up, David Stern needs to get involved and force him to sign with the Knicks or Nets. This team is so poorly managed it's mindbottling. They've been forced into too many bad contracts because of who was available at the time, and they've made some terrible trades. I think it only goes sour from here one out for the Cavs. They've peaked.
The Wiz play the Cavs pretty hard and I think they have a shot here. If the refs hadn't have gotten involved in that last regular season game, they might have had home-court too. Jamison is a rock and Tough Juice is coming off of an injury, but when he's on, it's on. The X-Factor is The Black President. What is Arenas going to bring to the table? I say don't count him out even though they're saying he's going to come off the bench. He's shown that he can break out in a game (20/7/5 against Philly on the 12th) and I think as long as the Wizards aren't relying on him as their number one option, anything he gives them is just gravy. If Jamison and Butler can do the heavy lifting and Hibachi just does his job and supports them, they can win. Look at who they're playing against; it's Lebron and nobody.
I think, for once, the Cavs can't live up to the hype and it's Wizards in six.
The West:
#1 Lakers (57-25) vs. #8 Denver (50-32)
Season Series: Lakers 3-0
Lakers continue to impress, but the Andrew Bynum injury is going to make or break this playoff run. I still think they're a great team without him, but with him; they look unstoppable. Phil will figure out how to use both of them if Bynum can come back, and I really don't think it's that big of a problem; they run the triangle, which favors big men that can pass. Both Bynum and Pow! Gasol are excellent passers and I don't think there's going to be a whole lot of complaining. Plus, it will allow Odom to do what he does best, and that's fill in holes. He's a much better player when he doesn't have pressure to perform and if he's the third or fourth option, he can just focus on making plays. Their bench has been phenomenal this year, I think they're still second behind San Antonio in bench points, and the Spurs cheat because Ginobili plays starters minutes. I think they're pretty solid. If they don't win it all or make it to the Finals this year, don't worry; they're going to be around for awhile. Kobe's still in his prime, Bynum isn't even 21 yet and Gasol is 27. And that's scary.
The Nuggets are just a mess. They won't play defense, they have a bad locker room and they're right on pace for the patent-pending "George Karl Team Implosion™". If it doesn't happen this year, it's a lock to happen at some point next year; they're operating on borrowed time in my opinion. And after that happens, what do you do? Who do you trade? What do you get back? Like I said, it's a mess. Melo getting a DUI right before the playoffs is just downright stupid.
The Lakers beat the Nuggets 3-0 in the regular season, and that was before they got Gasol. So a sweep isn't out of the question, but anytime you've got the kind of offensive firepower that Denver has, all you have to do is hang around and then have a good 4th quarter and you can win a game. Lakers in five.
#2 New Orleans (56-26) vs. #7 Dallas (51-31)
Season Series: Tied 2-2
This is going to be interesting. I am not a big believer in the Hornets in the post-season. They're really young, and the only guy on the team with any significant playoff experience is Peja. BUT, they have Chris Paul and he is going to go off on Dallas. The Mavs have ZERO interior D and Paul is going to penetrate to score or dish the entire series. He's going to set up West and Chandler for dunks and Peja for open threes. It's not going to be pretty if you're a Mavs fan.
Dallas is a train-wreck, but they seem to be putting it together lately. I hated that Jason Kidd trade, mainly because they gave up so much of their future to try and win now, and I really don't think they got any better. Missing those two first round picks is going to hurt and you're only going to get
maybe two years out of Kidd, when you could have had 7-10 years with Devin Harris. Whatever. It if what it if. Much like Denver, they're going to have to make a lot of decisions in the next couple of years.
I watched their matchup on Wednesday and saw some interesting things. 1. The Hornets made a late run and the Mavs couldn't stop them. You gotta play D in the playoffs. 2. The Mavs were posting up Jason Kidd and it worked. He either made an easy shot after backing down his defender, or he passed out of the double-team and Dallas made the extra pass for an open shot. In my opinion, for Dallas to win, they need the Jason Kidd that showed up on Wednesday night (27/10/10 for his 100th triple-double). 3. Dirk was terrible down the stretch. He made a wide open three, but that was after they ran two pick-and-rolls in a row with Dirk and Jason Terry; Dirk passed out of it both times and Terry buried two deep jumpers. Not really what you want to see from your franchise player this late in the season. I still think the ankle is bothering him, he still looks terrible on defense.
I took Dallas last year and they screwed me. I don't really believe in the Hornets, but I'm taking them in six. Which means Dallas will win in five or seven.
#3 San Antonio (56-26) vs. #6 Phoenix (55-27)
Season Series: Suns 3-1
Two teams enter, one team leaves. I wish they would play this series in a Thunderdome cage, because that would be awesome to see. This is a great match-up for everyone else in the West, because someone's gonna get knocked out and the winner might be too beat up or tired to compete.
If you're the Suns, you have to be pissed; they're one game behind San Antonio in the standings, they're ahead of the Jazz, tied with the Rockets and they're the number six seed. They got a raw deal here, but I like them to win this series. The Spurs look
ancient. Bruce Bowen in particular looks like he's 97 years old out there. Parker and Ginobili have been hurt during parts of the season, and Duncan looks like he's finally showing signs of slowing down. Suns have a lot of veterans now and a tight rotation. STAT will run wild now that he doesn't have to guard and be guarded by Duncan. Shaq has shown that he can still be dominate in stretches, especially at the end of games. I think Nash and The Captain can out perform Parker. The key is how Duncan and whoever else they're going to throw at Stoudamire and Shaq performs. I think the Suns match-up well against the Spurs and in a lot of ways, they're better. They just need to put it all together this year and get it done. No excuses this time.
I really think this is the last year the Suns have to win it all. Teams are just going to be better next year (see; Lakers, Los Angeles) and the Suns are just going to be one year older. Look at that Sacramento team from six or seven years ago. Their window closed real fast and I think that's what going to happen to Phoenix. The fact that they've traded or sold most of their draft picks from the last couple and upcoming years doesn't help them any. They need to win and they need to win
now. Suns in six.
#4 Utah (54-28) vs. #5 Houston (55-27)
Season Series: Jazz 2-1
Everyone's hyping this one and predicting that it's going to be a great series, but does anyone remember what happened last year? It's an exact repeat of 2007; Houston had home-court, the series was totally boring, it went seven games and the Jazz won AT Houston. The exact same thing will happen this year.
One key injury for the Rockets is that Rafer Alston is expected to miss the first two games with a hamstring pull. This is pretty big because the Houston Point Guard Depth Chart reads; Bobby Jackson, and...Steve Francis? Yep, that's right, Stevie Franchise could see significant minutes in the post season. And that's scary if you're T-Mac and you're still trying to get out of the first round. Houston's had a good run, but I think it ends here. The worst thing for the NBA is if this goes seven games and holds up the second round. And I think it does. Jazz in seven.