Friday, September 26, 2008

El Pad's Weekly Betting Forum

Man, what a pennant race. Say what you want about the Mets but you can't say that they don't want this. To come back from a loss like that in that fashion.....being down 6-3, then 6-4, 6-5 eventually tying it up, getting through the top of the ninth to set up the top of the order. Reyes's at-bat, blown calls by the 3rd base coach on three occasions.....man. Years are flying off my life. Last year was different, last year Wednesday's loss would have ended their season. This year it may define it. Big ups to the Brew Crew too for not sucking. Two huge home wins. I wonder if the Cubs want to knock the Brewers out. Marlins want to do it to the Mets just like they did last year. Interesting 3 games left.

USC mother den has to wash the sheets this morning. USC shit the bed. Again. Makes Georgia's game vs Alabama that much more important. Gotta love Beavers.

Shitty slate of games in the Pros this week. An NFC East game with a bunch of toss-up games. Vikes/Titans, toss-up. Cincy/Clev, toss-up. Battle of the Bay's, toss-up. Jets/Zona, toss-up. Toss-ups are a bettors worst nightmare. Hard to gauge wager amounts. Let's get to it.

Where I'm At
Cash Figure : $207.50
Picks : 11-8

College first, some better opps.

North Carolina +7.5 over Da U
NC 7-3 ATS vs a ACC team with a winning record. Conference play in college is nice to wager on because normally both teams knock the snot out of each other so more times than not you side with the points. Butch Davis has a decent program running over in Chapel Hill too. Not bad. Maybe they win outright.
(Straight Bet : $100)


Mississippi State +24 over LSU
I like getting 24 points. Even if I only scored 2 against Auburn. I'm comfortable. Sylvester Croom, keep it close. Daddy wants a new Luis Ayala Jersey.
(Straight Bet : $100)


NC State +9 over South Florida
Like what you saw from the young QB Tom O'Brien has. Got some gumption. Nice home crowd, Big East team, I like NC State's chances here. 9 points seem like a steal.
(Straight Bet : $100)


Alabama +6.5 over Georgia
Don't really feel like Georgia has hit their stride yet. Alabama getting them at the right time?Maybe they are waiting for SEC play but Alabama looks like a team that can really give them some problems. Bama's o-line is outstanding, they have a nice back in Coffee. They've pretty much crushed everyone except for a sloppy win vs Tulane. I also recall a great game played last year in Tuscaloosa...think Bama lost by 2. I imagine Saban will be bringing that game up, motivational tool if you will. I think we are in for a great game.
(Straight Bet : $150)


Pros
Denver -10 over KC
Just on principle I will wager against KC until they cover. First week notwithstanding.
(Straight Bet : $75)


Jax -7.5 over Houston
Jax should flatten them at home. I'm talking like 38-10. I really like this. Might be a Mike Lowry special.
(Straight Bet : $250)


Philly -3 over Da Bearz
I like making money on the nightcap. Makes me sleep better. Especially if I'm down at that point. I'll probably be reckless throughout the day knowing I have a blue plate special waiting for me later that night. Chicago is a tough place to play, no doubt, but the Iggles are head and shoulders above the Bears. At least in my eyes. Besides Washington it seems as if any of the NFC East teams can come into Chicago and beat em. Didn't know what to make of the loss against Tampa. Maybe that swayed me. But Brian Griese shouldn't be winning football games against your vaunted defense with the game on the line.
(Straight Bet : $200)


Unrelated I will most likely be in AC Sunday. Plans include watching the games, gambling furiously and drinking beer. Next week I'll start showing you guys how to bet 1st and 2nd halfs. Maybe even quarters.

1,080 comments:

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Jugdish said...

first!

Jugdish said...

I'd rather see tits though.

Beth said...

Then you should have waited longer.

blue said...

good picks EP{

blue said...

the chefs suck

blue said...

USC blows

blue said...

i hate fmlb

El Padrino said...

beth what are your thoughts on the big game

El Padrino said...

"i hate fmlb"

said the guy with a makeshift pitching staff and defensing champ, runner upchamp this year

blue said...

I think Bama is overrated...JP Wilson is gay

Jugdish said...

Then you should have waited longer.


I still see them when the page refreshes.

blue said...

is jug going anywhere to see anything this weekend?

Jugdish said...

hhhmmm...good question.

Plans for tonight are uncertain at this point.

I am rebuilding some of our fence tomorrow and studying...that's all I know at this point.

I'm also getting off work today at noon to do some fence work.

El Padrino said...

studying

:blank stare:

blue said...

studying = drinking while staring at the stars

blue said...

i thought Jug already knew all, why would he need to study

Jugdish said...

I will have a blank stare when I am done studying.

Jugdish said...

I need to stay on top of things.

blue said...

"I need to stay on top of things."

TWSS

blue said...

or LMC

blue said...

either works there

El Padrino said...

online of phoenix univeristy?

tem said...

picked jacksonville for my suicide pick.

sorry el pad, that means you're gonna lose that bet you made.

blue said...

my suicide pick is still very fluid

El Padrino said...

i picked jax too
you aint that big of a mush

Beth said...

"beth what are your thoughts on the big game"

I actually feel pretty confident for the Dawgs. Richt seems to be doing a great job of keeping them loose but at the same time getting them fired up. I think it'll be close most of the game and UGA pulls away in the 4th quarter to win semi-comfortably.

Beth said...

It's a blackout game, which means the Dawgs will be wearing black. They're undefeated when wearing those uniforms (of course that just means they're 2-0). But it seems to really psych up the team and fans.

blue said...

oooooooooooooh a blackout game...alabama will be so intimidated by the black uniforms.

gay

Jugdish said...

online of phoenix univeristy?


Neither, University of Houston - Clear Lake

Going for a masters.

blue said...

Idaho wears black every week, and they don't intimidate anyone

blue said...

it sure as hell doesn't fire them up either

Jugdish said...

Idaho wears black every week, and they don't intimidate anyone



more like a funeral?

blue said...

i guess i mean, that if you need a gimmick to get you fired up for this game, you suck

blue said...

"more like a funeral?"

exactly

hell chaz reinhold is there sometimes crashing games

tem said...

northwestern wears black sometimes too don't they?

tem said...

so does army.

is there a good team that wears black a lot?

tem said...

missouri i guess.

El Padrino said...

a masters degree is impressive, i dont want one though my giants balls are more impressive

*not saying you have gerbil balls jug*

El Padrino said...

jug work pay for it?

tem said...

masters schmasters.

Jugdish said...

Work pays, I actually make money on it so I have to go. I have the GI Bill, plus work reimburses tuition and books, plus I get assistance from the National Guard. Its like a part time job.

Beth said...

"more like a funeral?"

Funny you mention that in that one of the Bama coaches was caught on video saying GA is wearing black cause they're going to their own funeral. The press has of course latched onto that big time.

Say what you want about the black, but it does seem to fire people up. Richt says whenever he gave a speech in the offseason people always asked about it.

And btw, Idaho is not exactly UGA... :-)

blue said...

it's the same as ND's green jerseys

blue said...

if the black is so great, why don't they wear black every week and go undefeated...maybe break out the red jerseys when they play all the weak teams

Jugdish said...

The Texans do something similar with Battle Red say, where they wear their red jerseys and the fans all wear red. I might be wrong, but I think they do well on those days.

blue said...

maybe USC should have wore black yesterday

tem said...

is it a night game?

maybe with the black jerseys bama will have a hard time finding the GA players.

Beth said...

They wore black for the 1st time ever last season, against Auburn and then in the bowl against Hawaii.

El Padrino said...

nice work jug

blue said...

"The Texans do something similar with Battle Red"

they did this against the broncos last year, it was awful, it blinded my eyes

Beth said...

"is it a night game?"

It is, maybe that's their strategy.

blue said...

the lighting is bad in between the hedges

tem said...

WVU basketball will wear god awful yellow jerseys on their god awful yellow court.

it causes opponents to get vertigo.

easy wins.

tem said...

JPM buys WaMu, including $307 billion in assets and $188 billion in deposits, for $1.9 billion.


either JPM got a hell of a deal or WaMu was seriously fucked up.

blue said...

that's the argument that some coaches have made against Boise State and their blue field, that the defenders are hard to pick out when they're wearing blue jerseys with blue turf...it is hilarity

blue said...

hilarity on the WaMu

blue said...

wasn't WaMu the largest depository bank in the country?

El Padrino said...

Wamu really fucked up
it's nice to be Jamie Dimon right now

blue said...

i read somewhere that the going rate right now is .25 per dollar for bank assets...that's less than a penny per dollar...and the gov't is offering to pay .65/dollar

tem said...

WaMu was the largest thrift ever.

Whatever the fuck a thrift is.

El Padrino said...

yes, it was largest by assets at like 30B

blue said...

"that's less than a penny/dollar" was in reference to the WaMu sale

tem said...

".25 per dollar for bank assets...that's less than a penny per dollar"


isn't .25 per dollar a quarter per dollar?

tem said...

""that's less than a penny/dollar" was in reference to the WaMu sale"

nevermind my last comment then.

blue said...

"Whatever the fuck a thrift is."

thrift is a depository bank

tem said...

around these parts a thrift is a store where you buy clothes for a dollar.

blue said...

"nevermind my last comment then"

yeah, i realized it wasn't clear

blue said...

thrift

i only know this because the last company I worked for was a "thrift bank"

JFreak said...

EP, congrats on taking 2 out of 4 games against the Iowa Cubs.

blue said...

"around these parts a thrift is a store where you buy clothes for a dollar."

that's a term from the 1920's...nowadays it's called a dollar store

Jugdish said...

I think I am going here tonight.

El Padrino said...

"EP, congrats on taking 2 out of 4 games against the Iowa Cubs."

i hope to see you again...be careful with your gloating, there's a good chance they dont win anything and that would make 100 years so there's that

annnd, those kids played hard, looking to impress the manager, sometimes that's worse especically with pressing mets

JFreak said...

All I'm hoping for is that all the teams (phils, mets, brewers) have to use their ace on the last day of the season.

blue said...

why?

zambrano is hurt...and now dempster is going to start the first game for the Cubs...that's not a huge advantage.

blue said...

lou should have sat zambrano the other day instead of letting him get shelled

El Padrino said...

zambrano sucks anyway
i'd much rather face him then harden or Dempster

El Padrino said...

santana may go sat on short rest

JFreak said...

More starts on short rest = more chance of having a bad start

seems pretty simple.

El Padrino said...

phillies dont have an ace and CC might go sunday

JFreak said...

big z won't walk that many people in the playoffs.

JFreak said...

cole hamels is the phillies ace.

El Padrino said...

"cole hamels is the phillies ace."

stop it freak, you know I don't speak spanish

JFreak said...

Ok, you can piss and moan about it, but he is their best pitcher.

El Padrino said...

Twins

Jugdish said...

damn twins. actually damn Sox for rolling over in those last two games.

Jugdish said...

Meiz country

El Padrino said...

Lidge is thier best pitcher. Hammel is not. He is thier best SP though. I guess that's what your talking about. He isnt an ace though.

at least not when he faces the MEts

Jugdish said...

full of shit

the best stories always seem to have WV in there somehow.

Jugdish said...

from the article:

"Watkins' attorney, Julia Lodowski argued that the medical error was in fact caused by Casiano and has led Watkins to experience continual “rectal discharge," which requires him to wipe himself between 12 and 15 times a day."


sounds like what Meiz has.

El Padrino said...

he needs a Manpon

tem said...

"nowadays it's called a dollar store"

the dollar store here does not sell clothes.

nor does its competitor "Everything's 99 Cents!!"

spaceman spiff said...

eltardo up

blue said...

so this is what tyler has been up to

Jugdish said...

Is that who he bought the overpriced flowers for?

blue said...

must be

tem said...

Is that who he bought the flowers for?


*fixed


the word overpriced is not needed when talking about buying flowers. it is already assumed.

blue said...

his were grossly overpriced though

Jugdish said...

You'd figure if he had an underaged sex slave, he wouldn't have to impress her with flowers.

spaceman spiff said...

eltardo's dog, the dooze, is on his deathbed, score

tem said...

shocked the dog didn't already die.

Dikembe Meiztombo said...

I think I'm gonna puke

blue said...

little kids do that to dogs

spaceman spiff said...

"First, I'm taking her on a beach vacation for two days. Her two favorite things are swimming and chasing down tennis balls, so that's what we will do... ...Third, I'm making her favorite meal: filet mignon (bloody), an ear of corn and carrot cake."

WFT, i hate when dogs get treated better than people

spaceman spiff said...

i mean, dogs usually do in terms of they get taken care of, but a beach vacation? dogs can be happy anywhere, and filet mignon? dont dogs forget what they just ate? they scarf shit down then look to you for more, like they didnt just eat.

blue said...

*I hate when sports writers discuss their dogs

fixed

Jugdish said...

*I wish I was dooze




fixed

blue said...

isn't Chaz short for charles, not chad?

eltardo is elretarded

Tyler said...

Terrible morning.

blue said...

no kidding? they found the 13 year old girl

Dikembe Meiztombo said...

I'm taking the Chargers with my suicide pick.

blue said...

so now we're telling everyone who we're picking?

Dikembe Meiztombo said...

Does it matter?

blue said...

i'm closing the office today around noon...i'm awesome

blue said...

everyone should want to work for me

Dikembe Meiztombo said...

Can I work for you, Blue?

blue said...

sure, we need an angry person here

Dikembe Meiztombo said...

Sweet. Will I have any other responsibilities? Or will be for pure entertainment?

blue said...

we're going to be hiring an IT guy soon, that could be you

Jugdish said...

You will have to deal with his frequent shit breaks blue.

Jugdish said...

Also keep in mind the potential for what your company would have to pay for his health insurance.

El Padrino said...

yes !

skunkpatch likes the bears

El Padrino said...

maybe "brian griese is better that we thought he was"

hahahahaha
how many times have we heard that in the past 8 years

Dikembe Meiztombo said...

Steve Czaban is picking the Chefs to beat Denver 24-21

blue said...

it's a total trap game for the broncos, and they never play well in KC

El Padrino said...

jason bay thinks he's cool cuz he's in the playoffs now

El Padrino said...

i may rock the finger around the neck look

El Padrino said...

"it's a total trap game for the broncos, and they never play well in KC"

so sick of you and this shit, your sorse then the SG with the double negative jinxing shit

cutler beat them last year with diabetes

spaceman spiff said...

chiefs played well at home in past years, but cmon, they are awful this year, so it just wont be a blowout, the broncos will still win

spaceman spiff said...

blue is the king of the reverse jinx

spaceman spiff said...

zeke likes reverse jinxing when it comes to the skins

isiah thomas said...

Friday TPS....wft

spaceman spiff said...

christ, tirico is still asking interview questions about the gints super bowl victory, its fucking week 4 of the season

Dikembe Meiztombo said...

I'm fuckin' tired.

isiah thomas said...

I really think Dallas will lay chin nuts vs the Skins this weekend.

ns

Dikembe Meiztombo said...

I love being understaffed.

El Padrino said...

Reed Doughtary

RIP Taylor

El Padrino said...

dallas usually cant run the ball on washington but i still think dallas will beat them purdy bad

maybe score will be closer though

spaceman spiff said...

romo's knees just need to be blown out, weis style

blue said...

i'm not a reverse jinxer, i'm just a pessimist

El Padrino said...

miserable fuck

Dikembe Meiztombo said...

I'm glad I don't have an NFL team.

spaceman spiff said...

why? the breers are a joy to root for?

El Padrino said...

BRING IT BITCHES


Scott Olson, who is quoted as saying:

“Silence is golden. It’s not that good of a stadium. I remember Tom Glavine walking off the mound with his head down without getting three outs.”

Former Met Mike Jacobs:

“It was pretty amazing going from how loud that stadium could be to you could hear a pin drop. I remember hearing some of the guys saying they saw fans that were crying. You like being in a situation to be able to knock somebody out like that.”

Scott Olson chimed in again:

“It was just fun hearing 55,000 people not say a word.”

spaceman spiff said...

WFT

soccer player murdered, but not by a fan. his ex hired some dudes to kidnap him, they tortured him then shot him.

spaceman spiff said...

so allan houston officially signed by the kicks, again

Dikembe Meiztombo said...

"why? the breers are a joy to root for?"

Yeah.

spaceman spiff said...

"BRING IT BITCHES"

it was already brought'en, last year, so what your really want is for them to BRING IT ON, AGAIN

isiah thomas said...

Reed Doughtary

RIP Taylor


it still hurts. Watching Doughty ole on people makes it hurt the worse.

isiah thomas said...

watching NY fans (Mess or Yanks) cry in the stands warms my heart.

ns

*wadr EP

isiah thomas said...

re: Mess last night

Beltran is saving the good choking for the final regular season game.

Dikembe Meiztombo said...

I hope Piniella doesn't fuck it up for the Breers.

Dikembe Meiztombo said...

This day's taking forever.

isiah thomas said...

Deke - UW/UM....bet?

El Padrino said...

"watching NY fans (Mess or Yanks) cry in the stands warms my heart.

ns

*wadr EP"

never understood crying over a baseball game, i ususally break shit

Dikembe Meiztombo said...

"Deke - UW/UM....bet?"


Will I get to disappear like Keith when I have to pay my debt?

Beth said...

"Will I get to disappear like Keith when I have to pay my debt?"

Thank you! I say Keith still owes me a day for his debt to me on the UGA/ASU game.

isiah thomas said...

deke - 1 day name/pic

line tbd

ToddPacker said...

fuck the brew-crew

ToddPacker said...

... and the phils

ToddPacker said...

1/2 day today... jorts weekend

isiah thomas said...

get the fuck out of here.....

TP! what's up kid (gramps)?

Dikembe Meiztombo said...

Wow. Packer.

ToddPacker said...

" what's up kid (gramps)?"

tps, jorts and the mets giving me a heart attack on a daily basis

ToddPacker said...

what's up deke?... good brew-crew game last night

ToddPacker said...

deke, i'm hitting the hell out of those adams clubs... nice purchase

ToddPacker said...

what going on in the lov world?

tem said...

keith died.

RIP keith.

tem said...

friday TPS is the worse.

wft?


i didn't sign up here to do work.

ToddPacker said...

keith died


that's to bad

ToddPacker said...

what's up tem?

ToddPacker said...

any rev appearances?

ToddPacker said...

did i win the baseball league?

Dikembe Meiztombo said...

"what's up deke?... good brew-crew game last night"

Dude, good games are blowouts.

Dikembe Meiztombo said...

"deke, i'm hitting the hell out of those adams clubs... nice purchase"

Damn skippy. Old people love Adams.

Dikembe Meiztombo said...

"did i win the baseball league?"


Yes. You won for being the worst owner.

JFreak said...

did you find a new job yet, packer?

Dikembe Meiztombo said...

Rev pops in here and there.

Kod's actually marrying a woman on the 4th.

ToddPacker said...

"did you find a new job yet, packer?"

nope

ToddPacker said...

"Yes. You won for being the worst owner."

yeah, i suck... got blocked on all fantasy sites too

ToddPacker said...

lou took it easy on the mets, freak... thank him for that next time you see him

JFreak said...

"lou took it easy on the mets, freak... thank him for that next time you see him"

will do.

ToddPacker said...

"Rev pops in here and there.

Kod's actually marrying a woman on the 4th"

good to see rev is still alive

congrats to kod... and his twins

JFreak said...

Dude's name is Jacquizz.

How much crack do you have to smoke to come up with that name?

ToddPacker said...

the "nothing, really" line on the office last night might have been the best (non)twss line evar

ToddPacker said...

christmas vacation on hbo right now... nice

tem said...

deke was watching that a couple days ago.

tem said...

keith died a quick death.

i think meiz killed him.

ToddPacker said...

meiz is a killer

tem said...

perhaps, but that's ok.

tem said...

probably safe to assume that he kills swiftly and justly.

ToddPacker said...

how are things in OH-IO, tem?

El Padrino said...

man am i glad to see packer

ToddPacker said...

what's up ep?... mets are killing me

ToddPacker said...

the d wright K the other night was brutal... how the fuck can't they score with a runner on 3rd and no outs... nice comeback last night though

ToddPacker said...

are they going to get the game in tonight... what's the weather like?

Dikembe Meiztombo said...

TP's on the Do Not Kill list, BTW.

tem said...

apparently we had a hurricane in Ohio last week. that was cool.

and all the buckeye fans think that ohio state really really sucks now that oregon beat USC.

ToddPacker said...

"TP's on the Do Not Kill list, BTW"

thank you

tem said...

of course then they always go back to "well pryor is starting now, so we are waaaaaaay better. and beanie is back, so we should run the table"

it is quite a scene seeing them go from "OSU sucks" to "run the table" in 3 minutes.

tem said...

old

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