Friday, September 19, 2008

El Pad's Weekly Betting Forum

My picks, I'll get to the synopsis later. Or when I get a chance. I've been here since 6:30 am.

Where I'm At.

Cash Figure: $332.50
Picks: 8-5

Auburn +2.5 over LSU

Real hard to beat Auburn in thier own house. Especially when they sport that defense. LSU hasn't done it in like 10 years. With Darry Beckwith out Auburn may be able to run the ball up the gut a bit more effectively than LSU. This is going to be an absolute dogfight and in this series the home team has won the last eight match-ups. (Straight Bet : $150)

Falcons -5.5 over Cheifs

Big number to give for a team I thought was going to be around 4-12. But the combo of a weak secondary, Matt Ryan's arm, Roddy White's speed and Michael Turner's power should result in a easy home win. (Straight Bet : $200)

Bills - 9 over Raiders

If you don't believe in the Bills yet maybe a 35-3 thrashing of the Raiders will help. I don't know what else to say. I think I plugged them for a shot to steal this AFC East division. They run, they pass protect, they play great special teams. West Coast teams LOATHE a 1pm EST start. (Straight Bet : $150)

Saints +5.5 over Broncos

I like the points from 21 Jump Street. They appeal to me for some reason. Maybe it's Denver is not going to hang 40 on people every week. Maybe it's because they lose by 7 if Ed Hochuli wasn't alive. And maybe some trends have reared thier ugly head. Like this one, Bronco's are 0-6 as a favorite the week after scoring at least 4 TD's. Also in 2007 and 2006 Denver was 5-11 ATS when favored by more than 3. (Straight Bet : $50)

Rams +10.5 over Seahawks

Both teams are 0-2. Seattle just picked up two WR's off the street. They have no business giving double digits. None. (Straight Bet : $100)

Skins - 3 over Cards

Cards don't travel well. No matter the coach, the players or whatever else you want to point to that indicates a change in the culture of the Cardinals. It doesn't matter. They'll run out of energy at some point and then Clinton Portis will take the game over. A 3-0 Arizona Cardinal team would absolutely stun me. (Straight Bet : $50)

Moneyline Parlay Bet ($25 to win $250)

Detroit over S.F.

Browns over Ravens

Auburn over LSU

No points, teams must win outright. I also like the Bears over Bucs. Put something measly on it. Like $25 or something. Carolina/Viking game is the coin flip game of the week. No clue wins that game but Steve "Tyson" Smiff is back. I have a feeling the Texans are going to win too. Just a hunch. Keef talk me out of taking the points Sat. night.

As. I'll take a one day name change for Gints/Bengals. Take the 14 points. I'll lay them like I lay beautiful women. Sunday is the last game in Yankee Stadium. Hate them or love them it's a big moment in baseball. At least I think so. And I hate the Yankees. With dirty passion.

626 comments:

1 – 200 of 626   Newer›   Newest»
Tyler said...

Today is International Talk Like A Pirate Day.

blue said...

yarrrrrrrrrr

blue said...

EP didn't even mention the suspension of short sells by the SEC.

he disappointed me verily

blue said...

and he wants to be my latex salesman

blue said...

fwiw-

i'm still not sold on buffaro, i think 9.5 pts is too much for them


and i will look stupid when they win by 3 touchdowns this week.

El Padrino said...

"EP didn't even mention the suspension of short sells by the SEC.

he disappointed me verily"

everytime i mention business pertainting to the market/economics i get -

::blank stare::

so, if you want my take on it ask, happy to talk about it, it's my life, although i never understood why they allowed Naked short selling to being with, your basic short selling shouldnt ever cause a problem as long as the broker firm has the shares borrowed.....and the SEC didn't do that yet

El Padrino said...

they will though

El Padrino said...

market up 400 in 8 minutes

blue said...

you get ::blank stare:: from meiz...he's kind of a grimace

El Padrino said...

holding up the short sellers from short selling any financial companies was smart though

too late for Bear and Lehaman of course, but might save Morgan

blue said...

CU's defense didn't look bad last night, holding WVU to 14 points is pretty good


WVU needs discipline, too many penalties kilt them.

tem said...

I am ready to hop on the fire coach stew ban wagon.

tem said...

there is the art shell face, the romeo crennel face, and now there is the coach stew "how does the dagdum radio thing work again?" face.

tem said...

seriously, any time the camera showed him he was either fucking with his headset or congratulating a player. he never yelled once.

blue said...

coach stew liked to fire up the punting team though.

I didn't understand that at all, he stood in front of them before they ran on the field and fired them up.

tem said...

tem's speech to third string QB who threw a 20 yard duck to a guy wide open 40 yards away"

"go in the fucking locker room right now and get a jersey in the 80s. never wear a teens jersey again. you are not a QB. call your fucking mom and break the news. goddman it son. i'm sreious too, i don't even want to see you in a QB jersey from some NFL player. if i see you wear a jersey that doesn't have at least 2 digits and doesn't start with an 8 i am going to rip your nuts off."

tem said...

"I didn't understand that at all, he stood in front of them before they ran on the field and fired them up."

punting is a big part of our game plan.

tem said...

someone register up www.firecoachstew.com.

tem said...

it probably already exists.

blue said...

told you they would use the FB pass....and it was awful

El Padrino said...

"CU's defense didn't look bad last night, holding WVU to 14 points is pretty good"

i made money

however, kid missed a 23-yarder

blue said...

maybe coach stew should have fired up the kicking team before letting them out there

tem said...

maybe he should not have stuck his kicker on the far hash for a fucking 23 yard FG.

blue said...

it's the altitude, it messes with your decision processes

blue said...

I agree with Zeke, if i was ever to rush the field at a game that EA was covering, a quick grab could not be prevented.

except usually there are cops surrounding the coaches, but i'd at least grab some EA ass.

blue said...

or i could wait until EA was finished taping and interviewing the coaches and the cops left her vicinity, then it would be on.

tem said...

there would definitely be at least an "accidental" hand on the ass.

tem said...

"ESPN's Peter Gammons said the Giants could trade starting pitcher Matt Cain, 23, to the Brewers for first baseman Prince Fielder, 24, shortstop J.J. Hardy, 26, and another player. "



did we talk about this? doesn't that seem to be a bit much for Cain?

tem said...

this is a dead zone.

blue said...

that seems like a ton for Matt Cain, he sucks.

Now if it was Lincecum, ok

blue said...

gammons stroke has hindered his ability to think rationally

Tyler said...

www.firecoachstew.com is available

Tyler said...

Yar, apparently, it is also drive like an asshole day too.

tem said...

how much does it cost to get a website?

tem said...

yar, the drivin' be bad near every day.

Tyler said...

And reports are coming in that another train collided with a bus. It was on the Blue Line, which runs downtown.

Tyler said...

Found it: Metro Blue Line train derails after collision with bus carrying no passengers; injuries reported as minor.

Tyler said...

Well, you can register it with godaddy for $1.99, but that just basically parks it.

tem said...

hmm, maybe i will park it.

i don't know much about websites.

tem said...

LA has the most train crashes.

blue said...

parking it is a good idear, then if you get angry enough to pay 5.99/month for hosting fees you can make it official


or you can just create a blogger blog and link it to that website, like LOV is now.

blue said...

*website name

Keith S said...

"As. I'll take a one day name change for Gints/Bengals. Take the 14 points."

Roger

El Padrino said...

pheewwwwwwwwwwwwwww

Keith S said...

"did we talk about this? doesn't that seem to be a bit much for Cain?"

Prince will eat his way out of the majors within 3 years, and JJ Hardy is really bad.

blue said...

really bad? i'd say he's really bad when he's cold, but really really good when he gets hot, so he's probably above average.

blue said...

he's no tulo, that's fo sho

Keith S said...

"he's no tulo, that's fo sho"

Is anyone, really

isiah thomas said...

except usually there are cops surrounding the coaches, but i'd at least grab some EA ass.


it looked like it started oot (hdh) like this, but by the time she was interviewing Danny Hawkins it was a mob scene around her and looked like there was no security.

isiah thomas said...

tem I had some of the same reactions when they showed Stewart on the sidelines.

how long was that extension?

isiah thomas said...

loved the "go play wr" temrant.

isiah thomas said...

before/after Ike

Dikembe Meiztombo said...

I can't see what files I have on the iPod in iTunes. WFT. Goddman technology.

Dikembe Meiztombo said...

"ESPN's Peter Gammons said the Giants could trade starting pitcher Matt Cain, 23, to the Brewers for first baseman Prince Fielder, 24, shortstop J.J. Hardy, 26, and another player. "


Gammons is a retard. Brian Sabean is off his rocker.

Dikembe Meiztombo said...

"and JJ Hardy is really bad."


Pecosian Logic?

isiah thomas said...

Gammons is a mess, he needs to retire.

ns

isiah thomas said...

can someone clarify this :

Did Hootie go country?

I was peeping game one of his albums on itizzle last night and it was country....and hilarious.

isiah thomas said...

EP, they need to bring back the uptick rule on shorties.

Keith S said...

"Pecosian Logic?"

Lifetime averages of .269, 15 HR, 50 RBI, 55 runs, 1 SB.
Yeah, he's awesome.

spaceman spiff said...

meiz also thought sexson was awful for the breers

spaceman spiff said...

he's just like any other homer

isiah thomas said...

I'm enjoying a mini-Mt. Dew and a PTI podcast.

don't even trip

isiah thomas said...

how bad is the U Ess and Ay losing in the RC?

isiah thomas said...

wow, they're doing alright.

who fuck the (hdh) is Anthony Kim?

Keith S said...

Leading in 2 matches and AS in 2

Keith S said...

Kim is the next big thing


ns

Keith S said...

They're winning this year

Keith S said...

WWL comment...

I think CC's gonna stay in the NL where he can hit. Maybe to, let's say, the Dodgers.



Stop it, Tyler

isiah thomas said...

Wilbon : "The nfl failed Eddy Hoc"


come on now Wilbon your better then this. (hdh)

isiah thomas said...

SD (-9) at home vs NYJ is rigoddmandiculous.

too many pts

Dikembe Meiztombo said...

"Lifetime averages of .269, 15 HR, 50 RBI, 55 runs, 1 SB.
Yeah, he's awesome."


He's a third baseman playing short & a .280/20 HR guy.

Keith S said...

If he's a third baseman, then he should have even better numbers

Dikembe Meiztombo said...

Anthony Kim is money.

isiah thomas said...

re: Yankee Stadium closing

not being from NYC or a NYY fan

IDGAF

enough already.

wadr

isiah thomas said...

Deke - big ben on the PTI podcast

re: shoulder

"it's a non-issue"

Dikembe Meiztombo said...

"If he's a third baseman, then he should have even better numbers"

He will. Hitters historically make the leap in their 4 full season.(or so I hear)

Dikembe Meiztombo said...

"it's a non-issue"


I tolt ya that last night.

Keith S said...

"He will. Hitters historically make the leap in their 4 full season.(or so I hear)"

You just made that up because he's in his 3rd full year

blue said...

if not their 4th full season, than for sure their 5th...and if not the 5th, then probably the 6th.

isiah thomas said...

FYI:

Keeper League

I'm looking to deal a wr or rb (or combo) for a QB.

my J Cutty for T Jones deal is biting me in the buttocks.

blue said...

and so on....

isiah thomas said...

I tolt ya that last night.


of course he'd say that.

I still think it'll be an issue at some point this season.

blue said...

motorcycle crashes always hurt your shoulder in the 3rd full year...or so i've heard.

Dikembe Meiztombo said...

"You just made that up because he's in his 3rd full year"

No, I believe it was Tim Kirk gin(sic) that told me this last year.

blue said...

did kirk gin come visit you in the 'burg?

isiah thomas said...

interesting topic on PTI:

Ryan Howard for NL MVP

TC said about 40% chance
Wilybon was at 60% or so

thoughts?

Dikembe Meiztombo said...

Don't care. Team is in a tailspin.

isiah thomas said...

Don't care. Team is in a tailspin.


ok, Pecos

Keith S said...

I could see Howard winning it. Noone has stepped up in the NL this year, and he's been carrying the Phils for the past month

Keith S said...

"Don't care. Team is in a tailspin."

That's as bad as EP and his "Who cares about the Mets, fooyball season is here"

Dikembe Meiztombo said...

"That's as bad as EP and his "Who cares about the Mets, fooyball season is here""



The fact that I don't care about the MVP?

Keith S said...

Thought you were still talking about JJ. My bad

blue said...

Andruw Jones for MVP...book it

isiah thomas said...

Thought you were still talking about JJ. My bad

ditto

isiah thomas said...

I picked up ATL defenses in quite a few leagues and will start them.

don't even trip

blue said...

manny will get a lort of votes for NL MVP

blue said...

"don't even trip"

thanks for the heads up, i'll just step right over

blue said...

*goosestep

Dikembe Meiztombo said...

Phat Phil sucks in the Ryder Cup. He's already ruining AK's career.

isiah thomas said...

The fact that I don't care about the MVP?

perfect example of Pecosian logic

topic: NL MVP

response: "Don't care. Team is in a tailspin."

what does the Breers tailspin have to do with the MVP?

El Padrino said...

"my J Cutty for T Jones deal is biting me in the buttocks."

yeah sorry bout that

blue said...

how come philly didn't shave his head ass well

El Padrino said...

"That's as bad as EP and his "Who cares about the Mets, fooyball season is here""



The fact that I don't care about the MVP?"


asswipe, then i rambled on for about 4 posts, meaning, i care

tem said...

"how long was that extension?"

6 years total i think. he will be gone in less than 2 and replaced with Doc Holliday.

tem said...

"Did Hootie go country?"

yep Hootie went country.

also he likes to be called Darius now.

tem said...

jewel and hootie and jessica simpson are all now country.

kelly clarkson will hit pure country in 2 years.

isiah thomas said...

I still like T Jones for this season and needed RB depth before the season started, didn't think C Johnson would be as good as he is.

Never expected J Cutty to blow up like this.

isiah thomas said...

he'll always be Hootie to me

Keith S said...

Lots of AS on the Ryder Cup scoreboard

Keith S said...

Just got some junk email with the subject line of "Extreme cat rape".

tem said...

all cat rape is extreme.

Dikembe Meiztombo said...

"what does the Breers tailspin have to do with the MVP?"


Nothing. That's why I don't care about the MVP.

tem said...

respond with some "extreme cat death pics"

blue said...

i enjoy mundane cat rape

El Padrino said...

blogger not letting me update
cranky bitch

isiah thomas said...

Nothing. That's why I don't care about the MVP.

no, it's Pecosian Logic

isiah thomas said...

Just got some junk email with the subject line of "Extreme cat rape".

Why is Mike Vick emailing you?

isiah thomas said...

tem, keeper league:

Jake Del Homie - any interest in dealing him, he's your 3rd string guy.

isiah thomas said...

spiffg - A Rodg or D Mcnizzle

willing to deal either?

please advice

tem said...

yeah i will trade del homme.

Dikembe Meiztombo said...

U S & A is blowing it. We were crushing them just before.

tem said...

by the by i'd also trade hasselbeck.

blue said...

i could be talked into trading you jason campbell

isiah thomas said...

espn took the link down to the scoreboard...wft

are the morning matches completed? what's the score?

fuck you wwl

spaceman spiff said...

no interest to deal right now

El Padrino said...

efforting updated post
rejoice

isiah thomas said...

nevermind, found it.

scoreboard says US wins the Cink & Campbell match 1 Up but the scoreboard details have the 1 Up in the Euro column

wft

isiah thomas said...

alright tem, del homie, I'll make an offer

Dikembe Meiztombo said...

They fixed it, Zeke. USA is cruising right now.

tem said...

it is day 1 of 3?

Dikembe Meiztombo said...

yes

Dikembe Meiztombo said...

Midnight Marauders for $7 on Amazon. Yes Please.

tem said...

::blank stare::

isiah thomas said...

tem, not sure if we matchup well on a trade, I'll advice when I have an offer.

tem said...

keep me posted.

isiah thomas said...

deke link this up where they have the money deals.

tem said...

shoot for a three way. make it complex.

isiah thomas said...

Tem - TCQ

Keith S said...

"U S & A is blowing it. We were crushing them just before."


Ok Pecos

Dikembe Meiztombo said...

Here Zeke. Yo gotta dig around a little bit.

This weekend's 5 for 5 is terrible. Unless you want the Mama Mia soundtrack.

El Padrino said...

updated


BASK

spaceman spiff said...

bask in the mist

*fixed

tem said...

TCQ


:blank stare::

isiah thomas said...

Tribe Called Quest

tem said...

is that the answer to the Midnight Marauders stuff?

El Padrino said...

yes

El Padrino said...

colts 1-2 or jax 0-3?

intriguing game

El Padrino said...

ok
this is fun

blue said...

that's a tough game...colts have looked shitty, but so have the jags

tem said...

tem thinks jax 0-3.


which means bet the house on them.

isiah thomas said...

look for a big game from the Jax running game. Jax defense is "healthy".

no Bob Sanders = MJD gets 100+ and 2 Tds

and if its at Indy, no more pumped in crowd noise = no more HFA.

blue said...

yeah, but the jags are missing 3 guys off their offensive line

El Padrino said...

and Garrard is playing like Byron Leftwhich

El Padrino said...

def take the points

isiah thomas said...

I'll take Jax irregardless.

tem said...

take the under.

Keith S said...

Isn't MJD questionable?

Keith S said...

"Keef talk me out of taking the points Sat. night."

I honestly don't know what to expect from them this week after what they did last week. They could win, I wouldn't be shocked. They could lose by 30, I wouldn't be shocked.
Going by recent history, I'd say take UGA. They played USC & Texas last year and got blown out by both of them.

What's the O/U for the game? I could see it going over.

spaceman spiff said...

indy finds a way to beat jax most of the time

Keith S said...

On this day in 1987...

Making the first start of his collegiate football career, Florida's freshman running back Emmitt Smiff rushed for a school record 224 yards as the Gaytors upset Alabamer, 23-14.

TP was there, wearing his brand new joutfit.

El Padrino said...

jax +5.5
ASU over is 50.5

Keith S said...

"ASU over is 50.5"

I'd say take the over. Last year against top 10 teams they lost 44-24 and 52-34. This could be a shootout.

Dikembe Meiztombo said...

"TP was there, wearing his brand new joutfit."

Undoubtedly

isiah thomas said...

MJD might be questionable but he'll play.

isiah thomas said...

haven't seen ASU win a big game in 4 seasons.

I'd go with UGA.

slight trepidation though with ASU losing last week. If UGA survives the 1st Q they'll win going away.

tem said...

deke, your assignment for monday is to find new intraweb games to kill time with while at work.

Keith S said...

Back by no demand, it's the Skittles challenge!!1!11!

O/U

Orange + Yeller = 21.5

spaceman spiff said...

over

Keith S said...

"deke, your assignment for monday is to find new intraweb games to kill time with while at work."

Yeah, good luck with that, tem

blue said...

"slight trepidation though with ASU losing last week. If UGA survives the 1st Q they'll win going away."


UGA struggled last week though too, so they'll be re-focusing

Dikembe Meiztombo said...

"deke, your assignment for monday is to find new intraweb games to kill time with while at work."


Okay.

Keith S said...

Hilarity

Brees' backups are Mark Brunell & Joey Harrington

Tyler said...

Got a response from the Hoch-ster. It seemed a little like a form letter.

"Thank you so much for writing. I really appreciate the kind words of
support. It was very nice of you to have taken the time to write me. I
will learn from this mistake and move on, but this one will live with me for a long, long time.
Thank you,
Ed Hochuli"

tem said...

over

blue said...

yeah, hochuli has 2 different letters, one to the people pissed, and one to the supporters.

The one to the angry people is longer and better.

tem said...

goddman, the saints should take out a billion dollar insurance policy on brees.

if he gets hurt they won't make the playoffs at all. no how, no way.

Tyler said...

I think I won a league a couple of years ago with Brunell as my main QB. I think it was the year Alexander broke the rushing TD record. That team is probably full of guys who are now way past their prime.

Keith S said...

Red - 13
Yeller - 11
Purple - 11
Orange - 10
Green - 13

Under wins nothing

El Padrino said...

all backups blow
isnt that the case all over the NFL

cept for maybe Kerry Collins, Todd Collins maybe too, all collins are solid

Keith S said...

Especially kod collins

Tyler said...

I looked it up. Rolled with Brunell until he started sucking, then traded for Delhomey. Had Alexander and Edge (in his last season at Indy when he didn't suck) as my RBs, Fitz and Marvin as the Wideouts.

spaceman spiff said...

pretty rad team there

Tyler said...

It was a pretty rad team.

isiah thomas said...

isnt that the case all over the NFL

hell, most of the starters suck as well.

isiah thomas said...

I don't think Eddie Hoc can claim to be "responding" to these emails if its just a canned letter.

STOP THE LIES EDDIE HOC.

isiah thomas said...

WOW!

"rad" i2i

very, very rare

Keith S said...

*insert mize's "I agree with SG that there are a bazillion people in the world and we can't find 30 good QBs" comment

isiah thomas said...

deke I thought you were going to post 4 things about you one of which was truthful (or the other way around)

wft happened to that?

isiah thomas said...

add that keef, then I'll add:

Pecosian Logic

then he'll add

GFY

then I'll add:

Dikembe Meiztombo said...
I'm not an angry person at all.
September 8, 2008 1:03 AM


CIIIIIRRRRCLLLLE OF LOVVVVVV!

spaceman spiff said...

"STOP THE LIES EDDIE HOC."

by rule, a response is a response is a response

El Padrino said...

and what happened to ask deke hour?

Tyler said...

"by rule, a response is a response is a response"

Even when you have an intern at your law office c/p said response?

Tyler said...

"and what happened to ask deke hour?"

Do this. Right now.

El Padrino said...

"The Chiefs are expected to start two rookie cornerbacks against the Falcons on Sunday, the Associated Press reports."


I love gambling.

isiah thomas said...

I repeat:

I picked up the Falcons Defense in a few leagues and will start them.

LJ is on the ropes.

Dikembe Meiztombo said...

"deke I thought you were going to post 4 things about you one of which was truthful (or the other way around)"


I never agreed to that. Too much work.

Keith S said...

"Only later did I realize I had spent infinite more time biting my nails, e-mailing friends, throwing my remote, refreshing my league's "Live Scoring" browser..."

WFT needs to refresh their live scoring page?

isiah thomas said...

I never agreed to that. Too much work.

there is one true thing right there.

only need 3 more

Tyler said...

STOP THE LIES MIZE

*Fixed

Tyler said...

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