Friday, September 12, 2008

El Padrino's Weekly Betting Forum

Some really good games this week, so it seems anyway. Good week to have the Sunday NFL ticket. As far as the college slate the big game, OSU @ USC (the collision in the colleseium? really? did WWL hire Don King or something) is the only college game I will pick. It has the most interest and it's what my fans want.

Record:
CASH: ($175) PICKS: 3-4
Lost $175 in the opening week thanks in large part to Detroit.
Pick record was 3-4.


OSU +11 over USC
Because 11 points is just too much. Even without Beanie Wells OSU has a very good defense. Matt Sanchez looked rusty to me, despite hanging 52 on Virginia. There were some throws there that OSU wont miss, throws that a weak ACC team would and did. We'll see how good of a #1 team USC really is. USC 24, OSU 17
(Straight Bet $100)

Colts -2 over Vikings
Home opener or not the Colts dont just lose 2 straight September games. Gimme the Colts in this spot all day long. I worry about the run defense but the Colts can hang points on people and I expect them to score close to 30 this week. Peyton worked the rust off against the opportunistic Bear team and should be fine.
(Straight Bet $150)

Green Bay -3 over Detroit
It's hard not to like the Pack here. Impressive all around team effort on Monday night in defeating the Vikings. Detroit, has i've complained, laid an egg in Atlanta that still reeks of shit. If Pack win they'd already be two up on Minny. Bears have a tough game on the road against Carolina. And I don't expect them to be in the mix this year anyway. Pack get a big win here. I want to call this the :"Put it in the box with Mike Lowery's mama's titties and the word flaccid lock of the week" pick.
(Straight Bet $250)

Lines that scare me.....
Philly getting 7.5 as it is right now on Monday night, Philly is good again. Remember when they were shitty last year they beat Dallas in Dallas on Monday night with Jessica in the booth wearing that silly pink Homo jersey. Silly line.

Do not take New Orleans. Spiff was on to something the other day. When everyone's money is heavy on one team, ride the other. Wash is a nice sleeper pick this week. I still dont trust Zorn but at some point their talent has to outplay thier idiot coach.

San Fran getting almost 8 (+7.5). I think they have a shot to win. Seattle is really in some big trouble with injuries. I think they are dressing Tim Hasselback and his wife Elizabeth as WR's this week. No really big bro Matt has no one to throw the ball to. Matter of fact make this one of my picks. Gimme San Fran +7.5 over Seattle. They'll have no answer for Gore and the defense of SF is underated. Patrick Willis is a beast.
(Straight Bet $100, also throw $25 on them to win outright. They are +230 for every $100 so that little $25 brings back $57.50, a little more than double. If your a small time gambler and want action $25 aint much.).

Let me give you guys one more play, let's try one of those Teasers. 3 teams, add 10 points to any spread, any team.

Bus +3 because they will win, with or without the Garcia.
Colts +8.5 because even if Minny wins it wont be by more than 3.
Philly +17 on Monday night is cash
(3 team Teaser: $150)

Good luck and Good night Houston.

498 comments:

1 – 200 of 498   Newer›   Newest»
tem said...

i'm not waiting for tits.

tem said...

drunk tem almost made an appearance last night.

instead you get hung over tem.

tem said...

wow i just looked. i did make an appearence.

totally don't remember that.

tem said...

i wonder what else i did that i don't remember.

Beth said...

"i'm not waiting for tits."

Yeah, kod said the same thing a few years ago and look what he ended up doing...

Dikembe Meiztombo said...

Drunk Tem was a letdown

El Padrino said...

hahaha

Dikembe Meiztombo said...

Kod got some tits?

Dikembe Meiztombo said...

I'm out

Beth said...

"Kod got some tits?"

Well he's getting married, he better be getting some.

tem said...

drunk tem has 0 recall of posting.

i'm pretty sure i passed out shortly after posting.

tem said...

kod will be a grandpa soon right?

blue said...

soon

blue said...

i was esplaining to cmblue why FMLB is so important right now, i esplained it in her terms....

"if i win this week i'm guaranteed enuff money to buy you a new pair of shoes, if I win this week and the next matchup, there's enough for a new purse"

she decided i should pay attention to my team.

blue said...

the part i left out was that the money would all be spent on strippers and beers

Beth said...

"i was esplaining to cmblue why FMLB is so important right now, i esplained it in her terms...."

Presentation is key, although now you're committed to those purchases if you do win.

blue said...

"although now you're committed to those purchases if you do win"

nah, i'll just tell her i lost

Beth said...

"nah, i'll just tell her i lost"

Good thing I have her back then. :-)

Beth said...

Plus, who are you kidding? If you win you'll be yelling and hollering and gloating around the house to where it'll be obvious you won.

tem said...

i bet blue can put on an "oh woe is me, my fantasy team lost" act.

blue said...

yeah, i might get sex out of it if she feels sorry enuff for me

tem said...

pity sex

blue said...

i'm not ashamed

tem said...

you shouldn't be.

blue said...

Rutgers...sucks again...guess Schiano isn't such a souper coach anymore

tem said...

i'd argue with el pad on his picks, but i like them all.

tem said...

this means he is going to lose a lot of money this week.

tem said...

Big East sucks this year.

unless USF can do something then whatever bcs bowl the big east goes to will be a blowout.

tem said...

maybe ECU will rematch WVU in the Fiesta bowl.

blue said...

WVU comes to Boulder soon, maybe this weekend, or maybe next weekend

tem said...

ok fantasy folks 2 questions:


1) should i start carson palmer or aaron rodgers?


2) of these receivers i have to start 3, which ones should i start?

Curry, Ronald
Muhammad, Muhsin
White, Roddy
Bennett, Drew
Chambers, Chris
Clayton, Mark
Crayton, Patrick
Johnson, Chad

tem said...

they will be there on thursday

tem said...

well i bet they get there on wednesday, but they play thursday.

blue said...

you have a really shitty team

tem said...

yes i do.

tem said...

my running backs are good. i have westbrook and jones.

other than that my whole team sucks.

blue said...

which jones?

tem said...

thomas.

tem said...

amazingly according to the thing that predicts who will win i am an 8 point favorite this week.

the stat guru thing on cbssportsline tells me to start:

Curry, Ronald
Muhammad, Muhsin
White, Roddy

blue said...

i wouldn't start A-rodg, after the way the falcons ran all over the ball Detroit, i'd guess that the packers might run the ball a bit

blue said...

drew bennett is hurt isn't he?

chris chambers might not be a bad play, the chargers always destroy the broncos

tem said...

bennett is hurt, i will not be playing him, even though his 0 points might be just as good as the 0 i would get from ocho cinco or some of the other guys.

tem said...

i was thinking

chambers, johnson and muhammad


and palmer and hoping palmer and johnson light it up.


the projected stats say start rodgers. and the 3 WRs i said earlier.

tem said...

"i'd guess that the packers might run the ball a bit"

i read grant is hurt so they might not even play him. i think they might throw a decent amount.

tem said...

this place is zoidberg central.

spaceman spiff said...

"Matt Sanchez looked rusty to me, despite hanging 52 on Virginia"

cant take your analysis seriously when you dont know who plays QB for one of the teams, means usc will win big

tem said...

el tardo might be readable this week.

tem said...

matt sanchez is part HDH part shamford.

Tyler said...

I am the Monkey King.

Keith S said...

Matt May was arguing with Holthz about who is a better coach between Carroll/Tressel

Keith S said...

Remember a couple years ago when rev got to meet Matty Matt?

spaceman spiff said...

hilarity

blue said...

matt sanchez is carrol's secret weapon


and he's using rich mustain as his #3 QB just to throw tressel off the scent

Keith S said...

"An all-white jury will judge O.J. Simpson and a co-defendant on kidnapping and robbery charges"

Hilarity

blue said...

petey is the better recruiter,

tressel is the better coach


dun

Keith S said...

"petey is the better recruiter,

tressel is the better coach"

yeah, because it's difficult to get guys to come to LA to play fooyball

Keith S said...

NERDS!!

isiah thomas said...

petey is the better recruiter,

tressel is the better coach


hard to say this after OSU's performances in the last two title games.

Tre$$el is a double dang good recruiter too though. ns

spaceman spiff said...

didnt keef say that exact number? 9.55, someone look up the archives, i'm meizy. keef didnt even use physics

Keith S said...

I'd agree with zeke. Tressel has looked bad in big games lately. Especially against LSU

spaceman spiff said...

" Keith S said...

Usain Bolt is on something. That's why he posed at the end. If he had ran hard through the finish, he would have been 9.55ish and people would have been questioning him non-stop

August 16, 2008 5:02 PM"

keef is a genius

Keith S said...

matt spiff has a good memory. I don't even remember saying that.

ns

blue said...

keef = hans erikson?

isiah thomas said...

is Usain Bolt on Beth's approved "topics of conversation" list?

if not she might get catty with you.

meow.

isiah thomas said...

meowmeowmeowmeowmeow
meowmeowmeowmeowmeow
meowmeowmeowmeowmeow
meowmeowmeowmeowmeow
meowmeowmeowmeowmeow
meowmeowmeowmeowmeow
meowmeowmeowmeowmeow
meowmeowmeowmeowmeow
meowmeowmeowmeowmeow
meowmeowmeowmeowmeow
meowmeowmeowmeowmeow
meowmeowmeowmeowmeow
meowmeowmeowmeowmeow
meowmeowmeowmeowmeow
meowmeowmeowmeowmeow
meowmeowmeowmeowmeow
meowmeowmeowmeowmeow
meowmeowmeowmeowmeow
meowmeowmeowmeowmeow


catty wall

Beth said...

"is Usain Bolt on Beth's approved "topics of conversation" list?"

Actually, you're the only one who has to get his topics pre-approved.

tem said...

this place is a graveyard.

Keith S said...

Advise (sic) for tem

tem said...

i appreciate all the advise (sic) on my shitty fantasy team.

tem said...

wow an unrelated "advise (sic)" i2i.

Keith S said...

Those choices are awful, tem

tem said...

all chicks are out of my league so i have to hit on a girl out of my league by default.

tem said...

"Those choices are awful, tem"

if they were better choices i wouldn't need help picking 3.

spaceman spiff said...

i'd go with chambers, muhammed, and ocho cinco

tem said...

re: keith's link


i am not sure a study that is based on data collected from HotorNot.com can really be considered accurate or anything.

of course the link isn't saying anything i didn't already know.

tem said...

hotornot.com + one 47 year old bartender who looks 37's opinion = MSN article.

Keith S said...

About 7 or 8 years ago that there was some hotornot website that started up, and me and my buddies would sit at work all day going through and rating them.
In a related note, I got fired from there about a year later.

tem said...

you shouldn't spend all day at work on the intraweb.

Keith S said...

I never learnt my lesson

Keith S said...

Hurricane Ike might help me win my $FMLB$ title

tem said...

it also might not.

tem said...

"i'd go with chambers, muhammed, and ocho cinco"

what about palmer over rodgers, or the other way around?

Keith S said...

I'm ahead 5-3-2 right now, and I'm losing by 7 in Ks and tied in W. I have 4 SP left and he has 3, but 1 of them is Dempster who might pitch on Monday now.

Keith S said...

Palmer

tem said...

changing from rodgers, curry, white to palmer, ocho and chambers made me go from an 8 pt favorite to a 7 pt underdog.

Keith S said...

Being the 'dog is good. They won't expect it when you unleash the furry (sic)

tem said...

wwl commenters are smrt (sic):

"The "save" category needs refined because 3 runs is not [as] hard to hold as ... 1-run. "

tem said...

my fantasy football team is called "all hat and no cattle"

tem said...

i might change it to "all sucky players and no good ones"

Keith S said...

i might change it to Pittsburgh Pirates.


*fixed

tem said...

you said the same thing i did.

Keith S said...

I have to remember to make my college picks tonight

tem said...

meeting time, fun.

isiah thomas said...

does anyone have a good enchilada recipe?

blue said...

my good enchilada recipe consists of going to the mexican place and ordering

isiah thomas said...

my good enchilada recipe consists of going to the mexican place and ordering


that does sound good.

isiah thomas said...

L.A. Colossus


make the wwl stop

Beth said...

"does anyone have a good enchilada recipe?"

I'm sorry Zeke, I don't remember approving this topic...

Keith S said...

On this day in 1979...

The Indiana SockPacers cut Ann Meyers, the first woman player to sign with an NBA team

Keith S said...

100

spaceman spiff said...

rodgers is playing the lions, palmer playing the titans, i dont see why you would start palmer, he's gonna get sacked up

Keith S said...

zeke & beth should just have sexy time and get it over with

spaceman spiff said...

i forgot keef was a bengals fan

Keith S said...

Packers will run all day against Detroit

Keith S said...

"i forgot keef was a bengals fan"

I'm not a fan of Palmer, but I don't put much stock into Rodgers yet based on 1 game

Keith S said...

In my money FFB league, some guy took Adrian Peterson (Bears) in the 5th round. Dude is a Bears fan, and said that Peterson would be the man this year. He was mocked the rest of the day, and he dropped him this morning.

Beth said...

"zeke & beth should just have sexy time and get it over with"

Right after you and kod.

Keith S said...

touche

Keith S said...

I guess a beth/zeke sexy time wouldn't happen because zeke's not a girl

isiah thomas said...

Right after you and kod.

I ♥ Beth

spaceman spiff said...

meiz is this what you had in mind when you said prince fielder was 'focused' by becoming a vegetarian

isiah thomas said...

isn't he due for a new contract soon

I feel bad for fans of the team that sign his underbiting fat ass - you know he'll eat himself out of the league in 2 years.

isiah thomas said...

maybe by "vegetarian" he meant no veggies on his burgers?

tem said...

carson has done well historically against the titans.

tem said...

next thursday i get to get hammered and have rookie cops conduct field sobriety tests on me.


the cops will pick me up in a cruiser at my place. get me drunk. test me. then take me back home.

tem said...

i still think the night will somehow end with me in jail.

Keith S said...

"the cops will pick me up in a cruiser at my place. get me drunk. test me. then take me back home."

Did efmtem set this up?

tem said...

no if she had i am sure it would have involved wine tasting and art.

tem said...

and it would have ended with me being kilt.

Keith S said...

I figured she set it up and is planning on the cops beating the shit out of you with their clubs

tem said...

that's not true. i don't think she wants to kill me.

maybe though.

tem said...

i figure if i don't get at least one cop to hit me then i am not a very good test subject.

tem said...

actually i have to read the instructions or whatever. i am probably not supposed to get beligerent.

Keith S said...

Good luck with that.

Keith S said...

Where are they taking you to get drunk

isiah thomas said...

I smoke on the mic like smokin Joe Frazier
The hell raiser, raisin hell with the flavor
Terrorize the jam like troops in Pakistan
Swingin through your town like your neighborhood Spiderman
So uhh, tic toc and keep tickin
While I get ya flippin off the shit I'm kickin
The Lone Ranger, code red, danger!


I know rap lyrics aren't on Beth's list.

blue said...

do they realize how much it's going to cost to get you drunk?

blue said...

hopefully they don't give you a typing test whilst drunk

blue said...

that would be a good field sobriety test

"here, get on this laptop and type in some comments on this blog, we'll see if you pass."

tem said...

"Where are they taking you to get drunk"

the police academy.

i hope hightower is there.

tem said...

"do they realize how much it's going to cost to get you drunk?"

apparently. i get to put an order in for what i want.

usually i front load before going to parties, but i don't think i will this time.

i might have to take friday off.

Keith S said...

Got the DVR set for SNL tw night. I want to see the Phelps train wreck

tem said...

phelps is still news?

tem said...

people know he is a swimmer right?

Keith S said...

"e police academy.

i hope hightower is there."

Oh, then no doubt they'll take you to the Blue Oyster

isiah thomas said...

I met Commandant Lasard at a restaurant in Santa Barbara once.

NS

tem said...

city of columbus doesn't update its weather line for softball until 4:30. so i hav eto wait until then to see if i play tonight.

fuck 4:30.

tem said...

" Blue Oyster"

::blank stare::

tem said...

" Commandant Lasard"

that guy has to be dead by now right?

Keith S said...

"::blank stare::"

Blank stare this

isiah thomas said...

that guy has to be dead by now right?

this was 4 years ago

isiah thomas said...

He's alive!

he still has many, many, many years of life left.

tem said...

keith has much Police Academy knowledge.

tem said...

his wiki page says:

2008 Police Academy 8 Eric Lassard Film is in development hell

Keith S said...

Commandant Lasard was also Punky Brewster's dad, I think

Keith S said...

I've seen the 1st PA at least 20 times

blue said...

"city of columbus doesn't update its weather line for softball until 4:30"

who plays in a league that plays on friday nights?

Keith S said...

"who plays in a league that plays on friday nights?"

Lonely people

blue said...

"Commandant Lasard was also Punky Brewster's dad, I think"


henry, not her dad, but the dude she lived with

Keith S said...

dad...foster dad
to-may-to...to-mah-to

tem said...

"Lonely people"

i was going to say "temloney"

tem said...

also i am just subbing for a team.

apparently when they signed up they didn't think the whole "friday" thing through and they need subs.

tem said...

but since i am a loser i have nothing else to do, let alone anything better to do.

blue said...

i played in a league that played on sunday afternoons in the fall...

screw those guys, everyone showed up late because they were watching football.

tem said...

my summer league plays on sunday afternoon.

we don't play in the fall because of football.

tem said...

most used words

isiah thomas said...

this one was not in the top 100:


wall

tem said...

it should have been.

tem said...

along with zoidberg.

Keith S said...

This place is hot

tem said...

like a stone cone ice cube.

blue said...

DHD?

spaceman spiff said...

hilarity

Keith S said...

OSU/USC tomorrow

blue said...

that was funny shit spiff

JFreak said...

Rev days until Shaq retires.

blue said...

very good point freak

isiah thomas said...

Freak - ND/UM tomorrow, bet?

JFreak said...

No, I'm not going to be able to watch it.

Don't want to bet if I can't even pay attention to it.

Keith S said...

mize died

isiah thomas said...

Don't want to bet if I can't even pay attention to it.


this is meizian logic.

isiah thomas said...

mize died

he could be at a bucks tryout

JFreak said...

"this is meizian logic."

so's your face.

isiah thomas said...

one of the ladies in the other half of my office is a smoker and is sick.

she's had some of the nastiest sounding coughs today.

you can hear her coughing up lung butter with each hack.

isiah thomas said...

so's your face.

nice usage.

ns

Keith S said...

lung butter is good on everything bagels

kodiac said...

stellar day today LOV

accept the opposite

-amuse me dammit

iammebeingme said...

quality posting this week. i think Beth left claw marks on the front page. nicely done.

kodiac said...

Iam!!

what's new pussycat?

iammebeingme said...

what up slut! things are good.. birthday yesterday. i know no one here will care (especially cuz theyre 90's bands).. but last night i saw the singers from Toad the Wet Sprocket, Semisonic and Better Than Ezra all play acoustic. place was the size of a living room and i sat close enough to pull the plug on their guitars. freakin shweet.

btw, spiffs link.. i almost choked on my tongue i was LOLing so much.

kodiac said...

happy b'day soldier


freakin sweet is right! Sounds like a great show (ns)

Keith S said...

Watch out for mentally unstable NFL QBs walking aimlessly around the city

Keith S said...

Mentally unstable QB is still >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> than Joey Harrington

kodiac said...

90's music is only slightly < than 80's music in my book

kodiac said...

which, considering my musical tastes, is a huge endorsement

ns

isiah thomas said...

Happy Birfday FH.

kodiac said...

Wow!!!!!!

Keith hates music (and I presume puppies, smiling babies, and sunshine)

isiah thomas said...

don't forget he hates fireworks.......and America.

iammebeingme said...

"Happy Birfday FH."

thanks homies.

and listening to songwriters explain their songs then play em is pretty cool no matter who it is. i can even respect the country guys that ive seen there too, even if i really dont care for that style at all.. whatsoever...

JFreak said...

4.37874659 Rev days since Matt Cassel has made a start.

isiah thomas said...

Keith hates music (and I presume puppies, smiling babies, and sunshine)


this is indicative of only being on CL 3 or 4.

7 or 8 it would have been:

Keith hates music (and I presume democracy, animal rights, and women's right to vote)

or something much snarkier

wadr

isiah thomas said...

4.37874659 Rev days since Mark Cassel has made a start.

*fixed

kodiac said...

and listening to songwriters explain their songs then play em is pretty cool no matter who it is. i can even respect the country guys that ive seen there too, even if i really dont care for that style at all.. whatsoever...

I agree...and if you haven't seen Tesla yet, I highly recommend it. Does the whole show on a barstool, even in larger venues, has that songwriters style/vibe

isiah thomas said...

Nashville Unplugged

kodiac said...

wadr

no need Zeke; that was fooking insightful and likely true (ns)

although my keith comment was meant as (s)

isiah thomas said...

speaking of birfdays, I think we missed Beth's birfday a few weeks ago, right?

or maybe I missed it, if so, hugs and kisses snookems.

iammebeingme said...

america... fuck yeah!

yay, time to go out to some trendy, expensive place for birfday dinner! free food always tastes infinitely more scrumptious!

toodles, motherphuckaz!

kodiac said...

careful Zeke; you'll make ElPad jealous

kodiac said...

yay, time to go out to some trendy, expensive place for birfday dinner! free food always tastes infinitely more scrumptious!


shine on you crazy diamond

iammebeingme said...

kod, have you officially left bachelorhood yet?

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