Friday, November 16, 2007

El Padrino's Weekly Betting Guide

Bonds indicted. Sir Charles on TNT last night said everyone should go to jail not just Bonds. Um, Charles. He didn't get indicted for pumpin horse hormone in his buttcheek he got indicted for lying and obstructing justice. No one else did that as far as I know. Giambi told the truth. Now maybe Palmerio and McGwire, fine I'll give you them but let's not start going down THAT road already.

And Bonds is a first ballot hall of famer. If you don't think so your a moron and a hypocrite. It's the steroid era. There are rapists, thiefs, and plenty of assholes already in the Hall, what's one more?


It's halftime as I write this and Oregon is down 31-14. Yikes. No Dixon though so I guess that will be the excuse. There was no Leaf born a leader. And they went down as I recap this post this am. What is that like the 8th #2? Who benefits? Oklahoma? Kansas? WVU? Interesting.


Arod stays in the boogie down. I'm no Yankee fan but how many baseball fans can say they have the best player ever to play, period. playing in their city. I will make my way to go see him from time to time.

Suns are warming up.


Where I Stand: Last week 5-4, Overall 44-47

Let's just jump right on the big one.
MICHIGAN +4 over Ohio State($25)
Notice the amount. It's because I have no clue. Will the Wolverines be motivated by the fact that they can still win the Big Ten? After that Appa, after that Appa.. Fuck I can't even say it. After the early season stumble you would have never thought that they would even be in contention for the title but they are and it comes vs a team that has owned them the past 3 years. The problem with me being sure or not about this bet is simple. Everywhere I look, I get an even read. Usually when I cap a game I look at opening lines, who's home and the home/away records, last 5 games played, last 5 games played vs. each other & conference and recent trends. If I'm desperate for info I'd delve into the officials records, weather and other "expert" picks. Of course there are invariables like injuries, emotional type banter and so on.

The opening line is 4. It never shifted so there goes that. Recent trends obviously favor the Buckeyes. Last 5 games vs Conference is even, last 5 played vs each other favors the Buckeyes. Michigan is home, The Big House is no ordinary home game so they get the edge there. Hart is back, Henne is too so no major injuries to report. Mich has one loss vs. a Big Ten opponent as does O.State. Each losing to a team that the other one beat. I think Michigan beat two more quality teams than O. State did so there is that. It's pretty much a dead heat stat wise no matter what you say. So why am I siding with the team I root for? Because OSU's QB sucks. And no one seems to know this. Michigan pulls this one out 28-24. Hart carries the ball 14 times in the 4th quarter on a 19 play, 8 minute drive late in the 4th quarter to ice it. Also:

Manningham > Robiske
Hart > Beanie Wells
Henne > Todd Boeckman

Missouri -7 over K.State ($500)
I think this is a lock. The amount says it all.

ILLINI -14 over Northwestern ($100)
Northwestern stinks. Juice Williams coming off some terriffic play in defeating OSU should beat them by themselves. Also Northwestern beat Illinois the last four games. It's a given they are not losing this one.

I'm not laying 26 over Iowa St. depsite them sucking goat nuts. I think these last 4 games are really going to prove whether or not Kansas can hang around and shock the nation. (Put this is a small parlay, Iowa St. +26 or in a tease, make it 36 or 38)

Lots of big spreads in the Pros this week. Here's my take on each of them:

Colts are reeling, no way they cover 15 points. Even if they are home. ($50)

Jets get slam-danced by the Steelers. It may take til the 2nd half though. Jets + 6 for the 1st half is a decent play. Steelers for the game though, they are -10. ($50, $50)

Fins getting 10 @ Philly. Jon Beck to make his first start. Yikes. Lay the wood. ($150)

Take the Bills +16.5. That crowd will be jacked, it's a primetime game and while the Pats are very, very good right now the week off might hurt them A) and B) the Bills are red hot right now. Tough go of it if Lynch is really out this week. I'd say 24-17 final. ($50)

Skins +11 over Cowboys. Fuck the Cowboys. ($50)

Pack -10 over Carolina who look really, really bad. My boy John Fox is having a rough one huh? ($200)

BENGALS -4 over Arizona ($50) because I hate AZ on the road and I think the Bengals are primed to run off 3 or 4 games in a row. Once a year a team or two get hot down the stretch. For some reason I think it's these Bengals.



What do you want for Christmas and why?

895 comments:

1 – 200 of 895   Newer›   Newest»
blue said...

Fucking Oregon...Dixon's knee crumbled like a turkey staring down rev the day before thanksgiving.

ToddPacker said...

oregon = not that good

blue said...

Oregon just doesn't have enough depth to overcome all their injuries...it's seriously bad.

El Padrino said...

great post el pad

El Padrino said...

oregon will go with the if/then excuse now

if dixon can finish then the outcome would have been different

ToddPacker said...

dixon is made of paper

ToddPacker said...

mr jorts might be #1 in the heisman ranking.... although they never give it to a soph.

blue said...

fans that play the if/and then game are sad.

I guess the NC game is Oklahoma's to lose now

ToddPacker said...

....or someone from a 3 loss team

blue said...

I think the Glenn Dorsey for Heisman hype machine will really start up now.

blue said...

Chase Daniel needs to beat Kansas and Oklahoma.

ToddPacker said...

i said oregon will lose a game all along.... i also think LSU will lose in the SEC champ. game.... OSU might get back in

ToddPacker said...

"I think the Glenn Dorsey for Heisman hype machine will really start up now."


good point, blue

blue said...

Colt Brennan still has an outside chance too, would have to beat Boise State though in convincing fashion because they've played a really shitty schedule.

El Padrino said...

weak heisman race
i wish Hart didnt miss those games, he could have cake walked through the season and win

despite the record

tem said...

great post el pad.

tem said...

great point blue.

tem said...

great comment el pad.

tem said...

great rack beth.

tem said...

great Z tem.

tem said...

great 'i told you so' tp.

blue said...

McFadden still has a shot too. He'll need like 250 yards against LSU, and that would put him right back in the thick of things.

blue said...

tem with the "great z"

El Padrino said...

great z tem

ToddPacker said...

great "great z", tem

ToddPacker said...

healthy hart = heisman

tem said...

great point about the heisman race being wide open.

tem said...

great friday so far.

tem said...

great blue shirt tem. the people at work love to axe you about it.

blue said...

healthy hart is an oxy moron

ToddPacker said...

tem is going to bring rev back to life

blue said...

tem-

so what about these rumors of rich-rod to Michigan to replace lloyd carr?

ToddPacker said...

"so what about these rumors of rich-rod to Michigan to replace lloyd carr?"


i heard that kobe wants to replace carr

tem said...

great things will happen in Mich if they steal Rich Rod. and by great I mean I will destroy Ann Arbor.

tem said...

great job today by me telling the office people that I am really not concerned with games involving teams behind me in the rankings.

tem said...

great point about rev, but on a friday rev is almost assured, unless there is an early sat post.

blue said...

tem is climbing the TCS ladder like WVU

ToddPacker said...

michael pushing toby's lunch off the table was very funny

Mills said...

great post el pad
-----
this made me laugh.

blue said...

toby laughing at michael about the whole Ryan is not a girl, debacle was hilarious

Mills said...

McFadden still has a shot too. He'll need like 250 yards against LSU, and that would put him right back in the thick of things.
----------
thing about mcfadden is that when you look at felix jones, felix is arguably having just as good (maybe better) season. felix is averaging like 10 yds per carry.

that is bo jackson good.

tem said...

great point mills, but this felix guy has a broken hip and is an adequate baseball player?

tem said...

great talk about The Office. I hope it is over now.

Big Brother's Brother said...

can felix break a bat over his knee?

blue said...

felix knows...doesn't have the same ring to it.

isiah thomas said...

Bonds, A-Rod!
Bonds, A-Rod!
Bonds, A-Rod!
Bonds, A-Rod!
Bonds, A-Rod!
Bonds, A-Rod!
Bonds, A-Rod!
Bonds, A-Rod!
Bonds, A-Rod!

BONDS!

A-ROD!

BONDS!

blue said...

good job zeke.

El Padrino said...

great job zeke

Big Brother's Brother said...

the wwl pic of Bonds just makes his melon look 'oooge

isiah thomas said...

enough of Steve Phillips chiming in on Bonds.

He traded for Mo Vaughn.

re-read that last part.

isiah thomas said...

wwl should do a "who has the squarer head" between Phillips and Howie Long.

isiah thomas said...

I wanna hear what Frank Caliendo's impersonation of Chuck has to say about Bonds.

El Padrino said...

steve phillips is a moron

Steve said...

Zeke, how about the Duke boy stepping up for the suns last night.




Booooonnnngggg!!!!

isiah thomas said...

G Hill has really stepped up the last few games, he's fitting in nicely. I think they're over-playing him though.

and The Captain! led the Suns in scoring last night.

blue said...

if you like seeing women with just pasties on their nipples on boats, then today's PtP is for you.

blue said...

and yes beth, that was directed towards you.

Big Brother's Brother said...

8 more games til G-Hill breaks

El Padrino said...

grant hill is on the block in FBasketball

blue said...

the video that goes with this chick's story is pretty cool

Big Brother's Brother said...

friday is being dominated by dead air

Big Brother's Brother said...

i'll take advantage of it..

Big Brother's Brother said...

this blog is getting flipped over and thrown to the mat

Big Brother's Brother said...

a bored z is almost as bad as any mills post

Big Brother's Brother said...

but a nugga gotta do what a nugga gotta do

get that dolla' son!

El Padrino said...

my gas from back to back chinese dinners is relentless and disgusting

Big Brother's Brother said...

the old man pic is dragging his wrinkled old sack over all you little kiddies.

bask.

ToddPacker said...

stopping the bbb super natty

Big Brother's Brother said...

EP, you wop. i'm trying to electric slide my way to an extended Z.

Big Brother's Brother said...

break a hip, packer. you filthy whore.

:) <--- for Beff.

Big Brother's Brother said...

NP: Green Day - American Idiot album

Big Brother's Brother said...

gotta rock the quota early on

Big Brother's Brother said...

Zeke:


Your Mother.

ToddPacker said...

jebus of suburbia is a good song

El Padrino said...

boogie oooooggie

you gotta do it

it's electric!

El Padrino said...

hahahahaaaaa

tem said...

great meeting i just had.

Big Brother's Brother said...

way to have a great meeting, tem

blue said...

TCS for yesterday
*all praise to tem

568 comments

zeke 129 22.71%
Blue 95 16.73%
tem 50 8.80%
Deke 49 8.63%
Tyler 39 6.87%
Freak 38 6.69%
Spiff 34 5.99%
Kod 29 5.11%
Jug 28 4.93%
BBB 19 3.35%
TP 14 2.46%
Keith 11 1.94%
El Pad 10 1.76%
weazy 9 1.58%
Steve 7 1.23%
Chris 4 0.70%
Airborn 1 0.18%
Bubs 1 0.18%
Eracist 1 0.18%

Big Brother's Brother said...

blew, u should start doing tem diaries too

Big Brother's Brother said...

i think i will let it roll right into Dookie next. sounds like a plan.

El Padrino said...

it's a green day

blue said...

Weakly TCS standings.

*all tem

zeke 495 17.61%
Blue 413 14.69%
Keith 273 9.71%
TP 236 8.40%
El Pad 210 7.47%
Spiff 209 7.44%
Deke 185 6.58%
weazy 167 5.94%
Freak 153 5.44%
Kod 78 2.77%
Tyler 76 2.70%
tem 60 2.13%
TBBUCS 57 2.03%
Jug 56 1.99%
Steve 47 1.67%
BBB 33 1.17%
Chris 18 0.64%
Beth 15 0.53%
Rev 15 0.53%
Airborn 8 0.28%
Eracist 6 0.21%
Bubs 1 0.04%

blue said...

"blew, u should start doing tem diaries too"

i'm just helping the man out while he was on vacation

JFreak said...

yo' momma's so fat she could eat the internet.

blue said...

that's trash talk freak

Big Brother's Brother said...

i dont think Fez would applaud that joke.

Spaceman Spiff said...

mcd's breakfast, solid, food coma = not doing work

blue said...

all of my heroes have been ping pong players.

Spaceman Spiff said...

if anyone didnt get my 'cupchicks' reference last night, pray you never do

blue said...

last night was the last original episode of the Office that they have

stupid writers strike.

El Padrino said...

cupchicks = fucking awful

Steve said...

"Weakly TCS standings."



how long does it take to do that?

JFreak said...

line.

blue said...

steve-
like 3 minutes

El Padrino said...

best thing since sliced bread?

Spaceman Spiff said...

i like how the writers strike has had no effect on me.

isiah thomas said...

that guy is my hero

Spaceman Spiff said...

EP, it says he's 'looking into' patenting it. lets get on this and rip him off.

blue said...

the writers strike means no new episodes of the real world

Spaceman Spiff said...

T minus 10 hours til vegas trip #18374 commences

El Padrino said...

"EP, it says he's 'looking into' patenting it. lets get on this and rip him off."

agreed, now all i need to do is understand how the fuck he did it

Spaceman Spiff said...

dennis dixon looks like an ogre with no football gear on

tem said...

great work blue.

i will add your work to my running totals.

blue said...

tem, are you running like a forever TCS standings?

tem said...

great, that's what it would be if I was. and I am.

blue said...

"agreed, now all i need to do is understand how the fuck he did it"

when you apply for a patent, doesn't the process become part of public record, so you could copy it, and just make a slight change to get around the patent issue.

El Padrino said...

i dont know blue i never inented anything before

blue said...

speaking of ogres...in that chris farley death thing, i found it interesting that he was the original choice for Shrek...he had even done some of the recordings...that should be on the DVD

El Padrino said...

see, i cant even spell invented

isiah thomas said...

EP - suicide.

Philly or GB.

Leaning heavily towards Philly but GB looks tasty also.

JFreak said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
Spaceman Spiff said...

darth vader is with rachel bilson? damn

isiah thomas said...

the article says how he did it.

El Padrino said...

cant go wrong with either one zeke
really you cant

El Padrino said...

"You have plastic cooling cells which are pressed down into the dock which houses the liquid carbon dioxide. The liquid CO2 expands and is pressurised into dry ice in the base of the cooling cells ... in a moment."


um, yeah, charlie brown teacher talk

Mills said...

EP - suicide.

Philly or GB.

Leaning heavily towards Philly but GB looks tasty also.
----------
how many suicide leagues are you in?

blue said...

zeke won the LoV suicide pool...congrats zeke

ToddPacker said...

i thought jug won

Dikembe Meiztombo said...

For christmas, I want a 360, PS3, new computer, new pots & pans, and a few thousand dollars.

why? Because I can't really afford any of those things. Fuck you, Kris Kringle.

El Padrino said...

stop whining

Professor Chaos said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
blue said...

um yeah...anyway

Professor Chaos said...

Yo Yo Yo...its the trade deadline in the football league...did anyone anticipate i WOULDN'T break company policy and stop by today?

blue said...

I say again.

um yeah...anyway

tem said...

great news about the trade deadline.

El Padrino said...

oh boy

blue said...

tem? aren't you HUNGRY?

Big Brother's Brother said...

this day is skeetastic

Professor Chaos said...

I briefly stopped by yesterday, but realized thursday is freaks day and didnt want to inflate his totals.

Professor Chaos said...

ELP/TP. Your thoughts on the Torrealba signing?

isiah thomas said...

EP - I'll discuss trading for G Hill.

tem said...

great idea ordering pizza for the office today. although lunch got pushed back 30.

isiah thomas said...

weasel how are we handling making our picks?

I don't want you piggy backing me.

I'm only in 2 suicides, my office one and the LOV one. I've used the same picks in both leagues.

blue said...

why are you picking against weazy again? you already won

tem said...

great, the pizza is here now!

blue said...

great

El Padrino said...

"ELP/TP. Your thoughts on the Torrealba signing?"

omar is racist, only signs latin ball players now

whatever, they say he's a clutch hitter and handles the pitching staff well

i did have a problem with lo duca last year as far as not handling the staff to well

El Padrino said...

"EP - I'll discuss trading for G Hill."

i need 3pt shooting

Dikembe Meiztombo said...

We ordered pizza yesterday, the boss goes to pick it up, the the numb nut pizza guy says "we don't have an order for you". Needless to say, Meiz and the bossman were pissed. So we had Qdoba instead.

isiah thomas said...

sent something

blue said...

qdoba is good

Dikembe Meiztombo said...

I don't really care for Qdoba anymore

blue said...

no more sex on planes, i guess

El Padrino said...

i gotta let that marinate zeke

Professor Chaos said...

RE: Torrealba. There was no one in the system because they didnt put Flores on the 40 man roster last year...so they needed someone to get them through. Castro performs at a high clip, but when he had the starting job he wore down it appeared. I think this will be a decent deal, and i think Castro catches 3 games a week.

The best thing to come of this is no more having to deal with having a shitdick catcher clogging up the basepaths hitting in the 2 hole.

El Padrino said...

they need to wrap up Castillo

Keith S said...

"Michigan pulls this one out 28-24"

So you're betting for the push?

Professor Chaos said...

So...trade deadline today. I am flexible and willing to trade any of the following:

Carson Palmer
Marc Bulger

Reggie Bush
Kevin Jones
Lawrence Maroney
Priest Holmes

Roy Williams
Dwayne Bowe
Greg Jennings

Im looking to 2-1 or 3-1 an upgrade to my starting lineup with my depth...anyone interested?

blue said...

corbin, are you talking in the keeper league or the Yahoo! league

please advise.


regards

El Padrino said...

"Michigan pulls this one out 28-24"

So you're betting for the push?"

the theme of the write up is how i'm stumped at which side to take, even though i'm afraid to believe in Carr right now, so yeah basically i wont be betting the game and if i do it'll be for $25
that way i dont lose much, i can enjoy it, hopefully and a push is a win in my book

El Padrino said...

Maroney is a dog. offer sent for palmer

Mills said...

zeke won the LoV suicide pool...congrats zeke
--------
Zeke TIED for the victory.

Professor Chaos said...

Sorry ELP, but that trade does not interest me. I do like the fact you're sticking to this league despite your lack of success...

Mills said...

corbins here?

Dikembe Meiztombo said...

I can't wait for football on sunday

ns

Mills said...

weasel how are we handling making our picks?

I don't want you piggy backing me.
-----
i will go first...

Professor Chaos said...

Mills said...
corbins here?
-------------

Fucking A right Doggy

isiah thomas said...

I'm ready with my pick weasel

JFreak said...

Bob Ley was talking to Screamin' A about the Bonds scandal.

That makes sense, because Screamin' is a baseball analyst.

(sssssssssssssssssss)

isiah thomas said...

hold up weasel, why don't we just create another league - me and you.

Professor Chaos said...

Sunday Ticket is probably the greatest invention since string cheese

NS

Mills said...

give me one minute. i have to figure out who i have already picked...

Dikembe Meiztombo said...

Nope. Go check the pool. zeke's the sole winner.

Professor Chaos said...

They seem to send it out to Screamin A for all the "urban" reports now a days

Professor Chaos said...

WTF...Pedro Gomez wasnt available? dude has made a living out of stalking bonds.

Mills said...

Problem -- can you get to our league?

Keith S said...

Is Bonds in trouble?

Keith S said...

s

tem said...

great keith is here.

is keith in columbus now?

Mills said...

seeing if i can get it through my avatar thing.

tem said...

great corbin send me some sort of trade. i can trade you about 35cents on the dollar. i have great players.

blue said...

"Nope. Go check the pool. zeke's the sole winner."

that's what I thought

Mills said...

ok -- its completely gone, and i have no idea why

Mills said...

Nope. Go check the pool. zeke's the sole winner.
-------
Pretty sure he's not....

Mills said...

my loss was somehow worse than his?

it said we were both winners last week.

blue said...

I have 100% confidence that he is...i'm looking at it right now.

Mills said...

hold up weasel, why don't we just create another league - me and you.
------
yeah -- fine, i guess we will be able to double pick?

Keith S said...

"is keith in columbus now?"

Yes. It's cold here. I hate it.

blue said...

weazy is talking nonsense now...it's not in your trophy case

isiah thomas said...

weasel do you remember who you picked if not then I'm the true winner.

tem said...

great job bringing the warm az weather with you.

Mills said...

I have 100% confidence that he is...i'm looking at it right now.
--------
you are a fucking moron then.

we both lost last week. how is he the winner?

notice how he is not disputing it...

isiah thomas said...

the purpose of the 2nd league would be to keep picks to ourselves till gametime.

keep it to teams you haven't already picked.

Mills said...

is blue is looking at it, he can tell us who we picked.

i know i have indy left.

have used chicago, NO, NE, KC, Philly

Mills said...

used Detriot

blue said...

I'm not a moron...ask anyone else to look it up

Mills said...

don't think i have used GB, but have used Giants

Mills said...

and probably Dallas

Mills said...

how are you able to look it up?

did Meiz delete me from the league?

if so, that is bullshit.

Professor Chaos said...

Mills said...

it said we were both winners last week.

---------------

Mills, that was obviously a lie...you are NOT a winner

blue said...

now you are talking trash, not talking smack

Mills said...

i have used SD as well.

blue said...

corbin's comment was smack

Keith S said...

"great job bringing the warm az weather with you."

Yeah, my fault

tem said...

great a possible slapper.

Professor Chaos said...

tem said...
great corbin send me some sort of trade. i can trade you about 35cents on the dollar. i have great players.
------------

Team name?

tem said...

great day tomorrow though, rain and possible snow.

blue said...

Zeke has been declared champion

tem said...

great corbin doesn't even know my team name. it is fuck you all i think.

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